Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Mario Camposeco (Quetzaltenango)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Xelajú		Cobán Imperial

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.60	7.50
	1.40	3.80	6.75
	1.38	4.57	7.39
	1.44	4.32	6.9	Watch
	1.35	4.60	7.40
	1.40	4.62	7.19	Watch
	1.34	4.30	7.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.6)	4.4 ↑ (3.35)	7.16 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xelajú
66.5%

Draw
20.8%

Cobán Imperial
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

26.6%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

24.8%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xelajú's performance.

Cobán Imperial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xelajú that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobán Imperial than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Xelajú - Cobán Imperial Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Sican E. (G) 52. Aparicio J. 23. Calderon R. 26. Cardoza E. 29. Casas D. 7. Diaz Y. 70. Jaen Y. 24. Marquez R. 5. Monreal E. 25. Ruiz K. 13. Tebalan W.	55. Casas T. (G) 8. Alvarez Y. 9. Amaral U. 80. Amaya W. 14. De Leon L. 28. Janderson 30. Soto E. 16. Teni S. 4. Thales 2. Torres D. 19. Valdez K.
Substitutes
11. Cardenas S. 16. Cardona J. 22. Chang E. (G) 12. Gonzalez E. 14. Gonzalez J. 4. Hernandez M. 21. Lopez A. 71. Mejia O. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E.	22. Aldana B. 10. Calabrese B. 31. Chen D. . Moreira M. 20. Paredes S. 23. Romero J. (G) 18. Rosas L. 6. Winter C. 77. Winter J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Cardoza E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cardoza E. ↓, Cardenas S. ↑,
55', Amaya W. 🟨,
61', Torres D. ↓, Aldana B. ↑,
62', Diaz Y. 🟨,
62', Amaral U. 🟨,
65', Diaz Y. ↓, Mejia O. ↑,
67', Monreal E. 🟨,
74', Jaen Y. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
74', Calderon R. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
74', Alvarez Y. ↓, Rosas L. ↑,
75', Amaral U. ↓, Calabrese B. ↑,
87', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 3.

Xelajú is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cobán Imperial's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Xelajú is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Xelajú won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Xelaju	12	5	3	4	24:14	10	18
9	Coban Imperial	12	3	4	5	15:18	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Cobán Imperial - the odds 5 are the expected chance of winning is 17.8%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.09.26	Marquense - Xelajú	0:4 ✺
30.08.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Mixco	4:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.08.26	Xelajú - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:1 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.08.26	Municipal - Xelajú	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
18.08.26	Xelajú - Diriangén	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTLW
- Cobán Imperial
Guatemala Liga Nacional
06.09.26	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Suchitepéquez - Cobán Imperial	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Marquense - Cobán Imperial	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Cobán Imperial - Antigua GFC	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Mixco	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
26.04.26	Xelajú - Cobán Imperial	2:1
05.03.26	Cobán Imperial - Xelajú	1:1
21.11.25	Xelajú - Cobán Imperial	3:1
16.09.25	Cobán Imperial - Xelajú	2:1
24.04.25	Xelajú - Cobán Imperial	2:0
22.02.25	Cobán Imperial - Xelajú	1:0
21.12.24	Xelajú - Cobán Imperial	3:0 ET

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