Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mario Camposeco (Quetzaltenango)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX Sports


	Xelajú		Deportivo San Pedro

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.00	5.75
	1.43	3.95	5.9
	1.48	4	6.31
	1.5	4.11	6.2	Watch
	1.43	3.9	6.15
	1.49	4.45	6.55	Watch
	1.44	3.95	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.38)	4.05 ↑ (3.95)	6.09 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xelajú
62.5%

Draw
22.5%

Deportivo San Pedro
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

22.5%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

21.2%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xelajú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Deportivo San Pedro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo San Pedro than the current prediction. (-1%)

Xelajú - Deportivo San Pedro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Sican E. (G) 16. Cardona J. 26. Cardoza E. 29. Casas D. 18. Castaneda J. 30. de Leon O. 14. Gonzalez J. 70. Jaen Y. 71. Mejia O. 25. Ruiz K. 13. Tebalan W.	12. Cruz V. (G) 99. Aguila G. . Aldana B. 2. Alvarez D. . Barrientos A. 5. de Leon B. 30. Folleco R. 22. Fuentes E. 15. Gomez R. 14. Illescas K. 19. Salguero O.
Substitutes
23. Calderon R. 11. Cardenas S. 7. Diaz Y. 12. Gonzalez E. 21. Lopez A. 24. Marquez R. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E. . Racancoj J. 1. Silva D. (G)	. Ardon R. . Calderon L. 9. Colon S. . De Leon R. 97. Fajardo J. 4. Gaitan M. 10. Macal E. 48. Moran Y. A. 77. Navas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Fuentes E. 🟨,
22', Aldana B. 🟨,
26', Ruiz K. 🟥,
30', Fuentes E. ↓, Navas J. ↑,
36', de Leon O. ↓, Calderon R. ↑,
44', Navas J. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Cardona J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barrientos A. ↓, Colon S. ↑,
46', Aldana B. ↓, Macal E. ↑,
46', Gomez R. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
48', Mejia O. 🟨,
49', Folleco R. 🟨,
53', Mejia O. ↓, Marquez R. ↑,
62', Salguero O. ↓, Moran Y. A. ↑,
69', Jaen Y. ↓, Diaz Y. ↑,
69', Casas D. ↓, Cardenas S. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Cardenas S. ⚽,
85', Illescas K. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th and 5th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Xelajú may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Xelajú holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Xelajú has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Xelaju	12	5	3	4	24:14	10	18
7	Deportivo San Pedro	12	5	3	4	14:12	2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
26.09.26	Xelajú - Comunicaciones	2:3 ✺
23.09.26	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	4:0 ✺
20.09.26	Suchitepéquez - Xelajú	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Xelajú	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Xelajú - Cobán Imperial	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLT
- Deportivo San Pedro
Guatemala Liga Nacional
26.09.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo San Pedro	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Cobán Imperial	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Marquense - Deportivo San Pedro	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Deportivo Mixco	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Municipal - Deportivo San Pedro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.07.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Xelajú	1:0

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