Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 20

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Chapín (Jerez)


	Xerez CD		Gerena

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.7	2.95
	2.3	2.65	2.95
	2.31	2.63	2.97
	2.48	2.7	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.17)	2.67 ↓ (3.1)	3.02 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez CD
37.4%

Draw
33.2%

Gerena
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Gerena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xerez CD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Xerez CD - Gerena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Xerez CD won 1.

Xerez CD is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gerena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Xerez CD will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Xerez CD won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Xerez CD won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
29.01.23	Pozoblanco - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Xerez CD - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Xerez CD - Córdoba B	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Puente Genil - Xerez CD	3:2 ✺
18.12.22	Espeleño - Xerez CD	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTLL
- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
29.01.23	Gerena - Córdoba B	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Puente Genil - Gerena	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Gerena - Espeleño	1:2 ✺
08.01.23	Conil - Gerena	0:1 ✺
17.12.22	Bollullos - Gerena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
09.10.22	Gerena - Xerez CD	1:1
09.04.22	Xerez CD - Gerena	1:1
08.12.21	Gerena - Xerez CD	1:4
24.11.19	Gerena - Xerez CD	1:0
28.02.19	Xerez CD - Gerena	2:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
14.01.18	Gerena - Xerez CD	4:1

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