Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Xerez CD		Marbella

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.30	4.00
	1.90	3.05	3.80
	1.81	3.35	4.37
	1.79	3.4	4.29	Watch
	1.79	3.30	4.30
	1.79	3.53	4.36
	1.75	3.35	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.95)	3.33 ↑ (3.14)	4.15 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez CD
50.7%

Draw
27.4%

Marbella
21.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46%

28.5%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

27.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Xerez CD - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, Gutierrez I. ⚽,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13th in the Segunda RFEF - Play Out and 14th in the Relegation).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Xerez could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Xerez is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Xerez has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for Xerez against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Xerez CD	8	2	3	3	5:6	-1	9
15	Marbella	8	1	3	4	6:10	-4	6

Last Results with these Odds

Xerez CD - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 45.99%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Marbella - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 25.48%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.10.26	Xerez CD - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Betis B - Xerez CD	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Xerez CD - Tenerife B	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Recreativo Huelva - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Xerez CD - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWLT
- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.10.26	Marbella - Estepona	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Badajoz - Marbella	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Marbella - Betis B	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Puente Genil - Marbella	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Marbella - Atlético Central	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.07.21	Xerez CD - Marbella	Canceled

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