Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Antoniano		Xerez CD

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.78	2.62
	2.88	2.85	2.67
	2.86	2.71	2.71	Watch
	2.8	2.63	2.63
	2.88	2.94	2.62
	2.8	2.8	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.42)	2.79 ↑ (2.66)	2.65 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Antoniano
32.5%

Draw
32.9%

Xerez CD
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

31.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

32.4%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antoniano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Antoniano - Xerez CD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Zequi ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Rodriguez D. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 2 - 1, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 3 - 1, Arreola A. ⚽,
84', Diaz H. 🟥,
90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antoniano won 2.

Recent performances by Antoniano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Xerez is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Antoniano won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Antoniano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Xerez CD	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5
18	Antoniano	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Antoniano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.01.26	La Unión - Antoniano	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Antoniano - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Antoniano - Minera	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Recreativo Huelva - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLWL
- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.01.26	Xerez CD - Águilas	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Almeria B - Xerez CD	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Xerez CD - Xerez Deportivo	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	CD Extremadura - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Xerez CD - Atlético Malagueño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.09.25	Xerez CD - Antoniano	2:0
16.02.25	Xerez CD - Antoniano	1:2
06.10.24	Antoniano - Xerez CD	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
26.03.23	Antoniano - Xerez CD	2:2
04.12.22	Xerez CD - Antoniano	1:1
20.03.22	Xerez CD - Antoniano	1:1
21.11.21	Antoniano - Xerez CD	1:2

Upcoming Matches