Match Info

League Two - Round 15

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Haicang Sports Centre Stadium (Xiamen)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Xiamen Feilu		Shenzhen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	2.87	2.50
	2.62	2.92	2.58	Watch
	2.79	3.05	2.63
	2.75	2.95	2.6
	2.75	2.8	2.55
	2.64	3.25	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.26)	2.97 ↓ (3.21)	2.57 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xiamen Feilu
33.9%

Draw
30.6%

Shenzhen
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

28.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.1%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xiamen Feilu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Xiamen Feilu's form might have worsened.

Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xiamen Feilu than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xiamen Feilu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Xiamen Feilu - Shenzhen Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Xiamen Feilu will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Shenzhen will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Li Yuefeng (G) 47. Shi Yunfeng 16. Li Bowen 35. Zhang Shuai 13. Liao Lei 27. Zhuo Zhenkai 8. Chen Zeng 9. Xu Wu (C) 17. Zimin Nuali 18. Tursun Qeyser 7. Liu Ziming	43. Yuan J. (G) 47. Huang Z. 9. Luo Kaisa 49. Jiang W. 4. Li Mingjie 45. Yuan Z. 55. Huang Keqi 6. Luan Cheng (C) 8. Chen W. 17. Shi Z. 57. Wang Ziyang
Substitutes
23. Cui Wei 38. Dai Yuping 39. Gu Jiayi 2. Han Yiheng 30. Liang Peiwen 11. Shi Letian 33. Wang Zijie (G) 21. Weng Haoxuan 22. Wu Wei 4. Xu Anbang 31. Zhang Daolin (G) 29. Zhao Boyang	15. Chen Z. 29. Deng Z. 5. Hai J. 1. Hao M. (G) 30. Hu H. 10. Li P. 27. Liu Q. 11. Lu C. 24. Pan N. 28. Wang Zhiyuan 12. Yongsu Huang
Coaches
Hao W.	Wang Baoshan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Xu Wu 🟨,
44', Zhang Shuai 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Xu Wu ↓, Wu Wei ↑,
46', Shi Yunfeng ↓, Zhao Boyang ↑,
46', Shi Z. ↓, Lu C. ↑,
56', Liao Lei ↓, Shi Letian ↑,
58', Zhuo Zhenkai ↓, Cui Wei ↑,
60', Li Mingjie ↓, Hai J. ↑,
60', Jiang W. ↓, Yongsu Huang ↑,
64', Chen W. ↓, Chen Z. ↑,
66', Luo Kaisa ↓, Liu Q. ↑,
76', Li Bowen ↓, Liang Peiwen ↑,
81', Zhang Shuai ↓, Xu Anbang ↑,
83', Lu C. ↓, Wang Zhiyuan ↑,
90+5', Chen Z. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: ))

In recent matches, Xiamen Feilu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shenzhen is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shenzhen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Xiamen Feilu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Shenzhen	25	11	8	6	38:27	11	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xiamen Feilu
Chinese Yi League
27.06.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Xiamen Feilu	1:2 ✺
23.06.26	Xiamen Feilu - Hubei Istar	0:0 ✺
19.06.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Xiamen Feilu	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Wenzhou Professional - Xiamen Feilu	1:0 ✺
27.05.26	Xiamen Feilu - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLLW
- Shenzhen FC
Chinese Yi League
28.06.26	Shenzhen - Chengdu Rongcheng B	1:0 ✺
24.06.26	Shenzhen - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Wuhan Three Towns B - Shenzhen	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Hubei Istar - Shenzhen	1:2 ✺
26.05.26	Shenzhen - Wenzhou Professional	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
15.04.26	Shenzhen - Xiamen Feilu	3:3

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