Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday


	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard		Nanjing City

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.2	1.34
	9	4.25	1.33
	8.6	4.1	1.32
	9.89	4.5	1.35
	11	4.5	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.4 ↑ (6.65)	4.31 ↑ (3.45)	1.32 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard
9.7%

Draw
21.2%

Nanjing City
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

26.2%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

26.3%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nanjing City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nanjing City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Nanjing City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 9).

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nanjing City is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard have a series of guest games.

In this match Nanjing City is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nanjing City to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard FC
Chinese Jia League
07.09.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	3:0 ✺
02.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	0:2 ✺
29.08.22	Zibo Cuju - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	3:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.08.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	4:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
18.08.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
06.09.22	Zibo Cuju - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
03.09.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
30.08.22	Nanjing City - Liaoning Tieren	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.08.22	Nanjing City - Qingdao West Coast	1:0 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
18.08.22	Nanjing City - Qingdao West Coast	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
07.12.21	Nanjing City - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	5:0

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