Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 26

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Nanjing City		Qingdao West Coast

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	2.85	2.45
	2.85	2.95	2.45	Watch
	2.95	2.86	2.71
	2.8	2.7	2.6
	2.86	2.86	2.63
	2.8	2.9	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.48)	2.85 ↓ (2.97)	2.56 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
32.2%

Draw
32%

Qingdao West Coast
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

31.5%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

33.2%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nanjing City's form might have worsened.

Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nanjing City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qingdao West Coast, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Nanjing City - Qingdao West Coast Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Qingdao West Coast will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Qi Yuxi (G) 13. Wu Xinghan 6. Duan Yunzi 8. Jiang Shichao 3. Yen Yaki 17. Sun Guoliang 30. Erkin Ababekri 44. Fu Huan 36. Traore A. 32. Zhang Tianlong 28. Bouli R.	12. Chen Zhao (G) 2. Huang Jiaqiang 36. Sun Jie 7. Tian Yong 5. Liu Pujin 15. Abduklim Merdanjan 14. Feng Gang 17. Chen Po-Liang 11. Raniel 22. Osmanjan Abduhelil 24. Tanque W. d. S.
Substitutes
16. Han Xuan 7. Huang Peng 19. Huang Zhenfei 1. Huang Zihao (G) 39. Jiang Zhe 42. Ma Yujun 20. Nie Aoshuang 12. Qu Cheng 25. Xing Yu (G) 9. Yang He 4. Zhang Xinlin 15. Zhou Yu	1. Dong Hang (G) 42. Gao Yunan 30. Gui Zihan 19. Guo Yi 26. He Xiaoqiang 39. Lei Wenjie 25. Li Kai 9. Shi Jian 3. Xue Mengtao 44. Zhang X. 4. Zhang Yu 8. Zhao Mingyu
Coaches
Cao Rui	Jankovic Z.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nanjing City won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Nanjing City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
10.10.23	Dandong Tengyue - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
13.09.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Nanjing City	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Nanjing City - Yanbian Longding	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTWTW
- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Jia League
09.10.23	Qingdao West Coast - Jinan Xingzhou	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao West Coast	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Dandong Tengyue - Qingdao West Coast	2:2 ✺
09.09.23	Qingdao West Coast - Dongguan Guanlian	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao West Coast	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
28.06.23	Qingdao West Coast - Nanjing City	1:1
Chinese FA Cup
22.08.22	Nanjing City - Qingdao West Coast	1:0 penalties
Chinese Jia League
18.08.22	Nanjing City - Qingdao West Coast	1:0
31.07.22	Qingdao West Coast - Nanjing City	2:1

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