Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Yagüe		Agoncillo

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.15	2.48
	2.46	3.26	2.6
	6.61	4.01	1.47	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.45	3.18	2.57
	2.5	3.25	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.18)	3.33 ↓ (3.55)	2.36 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yagüe
30.3%

Draw
28.9%

Agoncillo
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

25.7%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yagüe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yagüe's form might have worsened.

Agoncillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Agoncillo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yagüe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Agoncillo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yagüe - Agoncillo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Agoncillo (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Agoncillo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Ranera A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 1.

In recent matches, Yagüe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Agoncillo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Yagüe won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Agoncillo	5	2	2	1	12:8	4	8
10	Yague	5	2	0	3	5:8	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yagüe CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
01.02.26	Peña Balsamaiso - Yagüe	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Yagüe - Villegas	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Autol - Yagüe	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Calahorra - Yagüe	6:0 ✺
03.01.26	Yagüe - Berceo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWWLT
- CD Agoncillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
01.02.26	Agoncillo - Villegas	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Calahorra - Agoncillo	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Agoncillo - Comillas	4:1 ✺
11.01.26	Agoncillo - Vianés	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Arnedo - Agoncillo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
28.09.25	Agoncillo - Yagüe	2:3
30.03.25	Agoncillo - Yagüe	0:0
16.11.24	Yagüe - Agoncillo	1:1
06.04.23	Yagüe - Agoncillo	2:3
11.12.22	Agoncillo - Yagüe	1:0
05.03.22	Agoncillo - Yagüe	3:2
09.03.19	Agoncillo - Yagüe	1:0

Yagüe - Agoncillo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide