Match Info

CHINA: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 June 2023, Thursday


	Yanbian Longding		Dalian Pro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.75	4.33	1.36
	6	5	1.35
	6.37	3.95	1.4
	8	3.9	1.36
	8	4.33	1.39	Watch
	7	4.4	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.02 ↑ (3)	4.32 ↑ (3.1)	1.37 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanbian Longding
12.9%

Draw
21%

Dalian Pro
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

29.5%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

28.2%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yanbian Longding's form might have worsened.

Dalian Pro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dalian Pro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yanbian Longding, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Pro than the current prediction. (-27.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dalian Pro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Yanbian Longding - Dalian Pro Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Yanbian Longding will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Dalian Pro will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dalian Pro: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Yanbian Longding is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dalian Pro has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Yanbian Longding could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dalian Pro is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
18.06.23	Yanbian Longding - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Yanbian Longding - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 ✺
03.06.23	Yanbian Longding - Dongguan Guanlian	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
30.05.23	Quanzhou Yassin - Yanbian Longding	1:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
27.05.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWL
- Dalian Pro
Chinese Super League
09.06.23	Dalian Pro - Beijing Guoan	2:2 ✺
03.06.23	Shandong Taishan - Dalian Pro	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Dalian Pro - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:1 ✺
24.05.23	Dalian Pro - Zhejiang Professional	1:2 ✺
20.05.23	Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Pro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLL

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