Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 9 June 2023, Friday

Location: Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)


	Dalian Pro		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.73	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.66
	4.3	3.85	1.72
	4.73	4.09	1.68
	4.4	3.6	1.62
	4.65	3.94	1.7
	4.3	3.85	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↓ (4.64)	3.87 ↑ (3.85)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Pro
20.9%

Draw
24%

Beijing Guoan
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

24.3%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

23.9%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Pro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Pro than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.4%	2.1%	87.5%

Dalian Pro - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Users Predictions: Beijing Guoan will win (42 of 48 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.14% – 96.86%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Wu Yan (G) 18. He Yupeng 4. Nunez V. 2. Lin Longchang 8. Zhu Ting (C) 35. Wang Yu 31. Lu Peng 10. Tsonev B. 40. Bosancic N. 7. Lin Liangming 17. Manzoki C.	1. Han J. (G) 16. Feng B. 32. Ngadeu M. 26. Bai Yang 4. Li Lei 17. Yang Liyu 23. Yennaris N. 5. Souza (C) 7. Kang Sang-Woo 15. Gao T. 20. Wang Z.
Substitutes
32. Ablet Kudirat (G) 28. Fei Yu 14. Huang Jiahui 16. Liu Le 38. Lu Zhuoyi 11. Mamba S. 23. Shang Yin 6. Wang Xianjun 13. Wang Yaopeng 5. Wu Wei 39. Yan Xiangchuang 3. Zhao Jianan	11. Adegbenro S. 45. Ademi A. 6. Chi Zhongguo 18. Fang Hao 34. Hou Sen (G) 43. Jiang Wenhao 39. Yan Yu 28. Zhang Chengdong 10. Zhang Xizhe 14. Zou Dehai (G)
Coaches
Xie Hui	Menzo S.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 7).

Dalian Pro has the most likely position - 9 (100%), project points - 38, currently - 38, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for acl.

Beijing Guoan has the most likely position - 2 (100%), project points - 70, currently - 70, not chance of relegated, already of qualify for acl, not chance of win league.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dalian Pro won 1.

Dalian Pro has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Beijing Guoan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Beijing Guoan is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Beijing Guoan to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Dalian Pro won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 15-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Dalian Pro won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Pro
Chinese Super League
03.06.23	Shandong Taishan - Dalian Pro	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Dalian Pro - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:1 ✺
24.05.23	Dalian Pro - Zhejiang Professional	1:2 ✺
20.05.23	Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Pro	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Shenzhen - Dalian Pro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
02.06.23	Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai	4:3 ✺
28.05.23	Zhejiang Professional - Beijing Guoan	3:2 ✺
23.05.23	Beijing Guoan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	6:2 ✺
19.05.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan	1:1 ✺
15.05.23	Beijing Guoan - Nantong Zhiyun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
05.12.22	Beijing Guoan - Dalian Pro	1:3
24.09.22	Dalian Pro - Beijing Guoan	2:2
31.07.21	Dalian Pro - Beijing Guoan	0:1
04.05.21	Beijing Guoan - Dalian Pro	2:0
15.08.19	Dalian Pro - Beijing Guoan	0:2
28.04.19	Beijing Guoan - Dalian Pro	4:1
14.08.18	Beijing Guoan - Dalian Pro	5:2

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