Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 League - Round 7

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Yangpyeong		Hwaseong

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.67	1.62
	5.75	3.67	1.62
	5.63	3.63	1.59
	5.4	3.5	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.63 ↑ (3.96)	3.62 ↓ (3.93)	1.6 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yangpyeong
16.5%

Draw
25.6%

Hwaseong
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

23.5%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

21.8%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yangpyeong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yangpyeong's form might have worsened.

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yangpyeong than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yangpyeong, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hwaseong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yangpyeong - Hwaseong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
35', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 6).

Yangpyeong is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hwaseong is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hwaseong could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hwaseong is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Yangpyeong won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Yangpyeong won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yangpyeong FC
South Korean K3 League
21.04.24	Changwon City - Yangpyeong	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Yangpyeong - Gangneung	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Gyeongju KH&NP - Yangpyeong	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Yangpyeong - Chuncheon	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Yangpyeong - Siheung	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLWL
- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K3 League
21.04.24	Hwaseong - Pocheon	1:4 ✺
South Korean Cup
17.04.24	Gangwon - Hwaseong	3:1 ET ✺
South Korean K3 League
14.04.24	Busan Kyotong - Hwaseong	1:3 ✺
07.04.24	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Daejeon Korail - Hwaseong	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
16.09.23	Hwaseong - Yangpyeong	3:1
21.05.23	Yangpyeong - Hwaseong	1:3
South Korean Cup
17.04.19	Hwaseong - Yangpyeong	5:2

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