Match Info

K3 League - Round 8

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Yangpyeong		Mokpo City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.25	3.4
	1.96	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.02	3.83	3.49
	1.93	3.57	3.45	Watch
	1.94	3.32	3.55
	1.96	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2)	3.46 ↑ (3.3)	3.45 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yangpyeong
46.9%

Draw
26.5%

Mokpo City
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yangpyeong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Mokpo City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yangpyeong than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Mokpo City aligns with the current prediction.

Yangpyeong - Mokpo City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Yangpyeong (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Ryu Y. ⚽,
62', 1 - 1, Dong-wonk K. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, Kwak Rae-Seung ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yangpyeong won 1.

In recent matches, Yangpyeong has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mokpo City is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Yangpyeong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Yangpyeong is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Yangpyeong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Yangpyeong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yangpyeong FC
South Korean K3 League
02.05.25	Busan Kyotong - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Yeoju - Yangpyeong	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Yangpyeong - Changwon City	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Chuncheon - Yangpyeong	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Yangpyeong - Paju Frontier	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWTLW
- Mokpo City FC
South Korean K3 League
03.05.25	Pocheon - Mokpo City	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Siheung - Mokpo City	3:1 ✺
20.04.25	Mokpo City - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Mokpo City - Busan Kyotong	1:3 ✺
16.03.25	Yeoju - Mokpo City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
02.11.24	Yangpyeong - Mokpo City	2:0
22.06.24	Mokpo City - Yangpyeong	3:1
08.07.23	Mokpo City - Yangpyeong	2:0
26.03.23	Yangpyeong - Mokpo City	0:2
South Korean Cup
09.05.20	Yangpyeong - Mokpo City	2:3
19.04.17	Mokpo City - Yangpyeong	1:0

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