Match Info

K3 League - Round 11

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Mokpo City		Gyeongju KH&NP

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.3	1.73
	4.15	3.3	1.75	Watch
	4.62	3.45	1.84
	4.38	3.39	1.77
	4	3.2	1.75
	4.28	3.55	1.81	Watch
	4	3.5	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (4)	3.38 ↓ (3.5)	1.77 (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mokpo City
21.6%

Draw
27%

Gyeongju KH&NP
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

26%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

25%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mokpo City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Gyeongju KH&NP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mokpo City than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongju KH&NP than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Mokpo City - Gyeongju KH&NP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', (Penalty Awarded),
90', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mokpo City won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mokpo City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gyeongju KH&NP is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mokpo City won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mokpo City won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Gyeongju KHNP	23	9	8	6	35:31	4	35
12	Mokpo	23	5	9	9	22:36	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mokpo City FC
South Korean K3 League
09.05.26	Busan Kyotong - Mokpo City	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Mokpo City - Jeonbuk 2	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Chuncheon - Mokpo City	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Yeoju - Mokpo City	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	Mokpo City - Pocheon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTTWT
- Gyeongju KH&NP
South Korean K3 League
10.05.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Dangjin Citizen	2:2 ✺
01.05.26	Gangneung - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Ulsan Citizen	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Yangpyeong	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
16.08.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Mokpo City	2:0
20.04.25	Mokpo City - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:1
17.08.24	Mokpo City - Gyeongju KH&NP	4:0
21.04.24	Gyeongju KH&NP - Mokpo City	2:0
16.09.23	Mokpo City - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:1
20.05.23	Gyeongju KH&NP - Mokpo City	0:0
17.06.22	Mokpo City - Gyeongju KH&NP	3:1

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