Match Info

K3 League - Round 10

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Yangpyeong		Changwon City

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.1	Watch
	3.54	3.15	2.22
	3.41	3.08	2.13	Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.1
	3.46	2.98	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.57)	3 ↑ (2.9)	2.13 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yangpyeong
26.7%

Draw
30.4%

Changwon City
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

31.8%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

30.8%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yangpyeong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Changwon City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yangpyeong than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (+1%)

Yangpyeong - Changwon City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yangpyeong won 1.

Yangpyeong has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Changwon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Yangpyeong has had a series of away games.

Changwon might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Yangpyeong won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Yangpyeong won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Changwon	23	7	8	8	26:28	-2	29
13	Yangpyeong	23	3	8	12	28:45	-17	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yangpyeong FC
South Korean K3 League
02.05.26	Pocheon - Yangpyeong	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Siheung - Yangpyeong	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Yangpyeong - Daejeon Korail	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Yangpyeong	4:0 ✺
05.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT
- Changwon City FC
South Korean K3 League
02.05.26	Changwon City - Siheung	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Daejeon Korail - Changwon City	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Changwon City - Busan Kyotong	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Jeonbuk 2 - Changwon City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
27.07.25	Changwon City - Yangpyeong	1:0
06.04.25	Yangpyeong - Changwon City	0:0
18.08.24	Yangpyeong - Changwon City	1:5
21.04.24	Changwon City - Yangpyeong	2:0
02.07.23	Yangpyeong - Changwon City	2:0
18.03.23	Changwon City - Yangpyeong	1:0

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