The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Táchira 58.3%
Draw 25.3%
Deportivo La Guaira 16.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
29.7%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
28.4%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Táchira's performance.
Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo La Guaira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Táchira that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo La Guaira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
55.6%
11.1%
Deportivo Táchira - Deportivo La Guaira Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Deportivo Táchira will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Camargo J. (G) 88. Alfonzo D. 4. Fratta G. 13. Camacho P. (C) 2. Sanchez J. 25. Perez A. 23. Hernandez O. 10. Sosa C. 7. Penaranda A. 70. Ramirez H. 9. Pollero R.
1. Varela C. (C) 33. Hernandez N. 24. Ortiz G. 5. Gianoli M. 19. Ascanio G. 6. Faya C. 14. Da Silva C. 11. Vargas J. 10. Castellanos J. 21. Rodriguez A. 25. Paredes J.
Substitutes
1. Araque A. (G) 20. Calzadilla C. 11. Gonzalez L. 38. Lozano G. 3. Lusnig L. 31. Mendez C. 14. Palmezano B. 45. Provenzano F. 19. Rondon A. 8. Villalpando J. 41. Wilches W. 27. Zuniga L.
77. Arace R. 27. Correa J. 13. Ibarra R. 36. Londono F. 16. Martinez L. 7. Meza J. 3. Osio D. 8. Perdomo J. 18. Rivas Y. 12. Sanchez J. (G) 22. Sulbaran M. 9. Uribe A.
Coaches
Recoba A.
Bidoglio H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Hernandez N. 🟨,
13', Hernandez O. ↓, Calzadilla C. ↑,
18', 1 - 0, Ramirez H. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
37', Perez A. 🟨,
41', Varela C. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
44', 1 - 1, Hernandez N. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Pollero R. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
48', Ascanio G. 🟨,
56', Ortiz G. 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Gonzalez L. (Penalty Awarded),
62', 2 - 2, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
65', Camacho P. 🟨,
67', Perez A. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
67', Sosa C. ↓, Rondon A. ↑,
70', 🟨,
72', Camargo J. 🟥,
74', Da Silva C. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
74', Vargas J. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
75', Rodriguez A. ↓, Londono F. ↑,
75', Sosa C. ↓, Araque A. ↑,
76', 2 - 3, Meza J. ⚽, Faya C. (A),
80', Ascanio G. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
84', Faya C. 🟨,
84', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90+1', Meza J. 🟨,
90+6', Ibarra R. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Táchira won 2.
Deportivo Táchira is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Deportivo La Guaira has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportivo La Guaira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Deportivo Táchira will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Táchira won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Táchira won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:10. (average 2.2:1).