Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 38

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday


	Chesham United		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.25	9.5
	1.28	6.45	7.59
	1.2	6.35	10.75
	1.18	7	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)	6.51 ↑ (5)	9.34 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
75.9%

Draw
14.2%

Yate Town
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

16.9%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesham United's performance.

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Chesham United - Yate Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesham won 3.

Recent matches Chesham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yate has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Yate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Chesham have a series of home games.

In this match Chesham is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Chesham won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
28.03.23	Chesham United - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Metropolitan Police - Chesham United	1:0 ✺
21.03.23	Chesham United - Plymouth Parkway	4:0 ✺
18.03.23	Chesham United - Winchester City	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Chesham United - Hanwell Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLWTT
- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
25.03.23	Yate Town - Bracknell Town	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Beaconsfield Town - Yate Town	3:2 ✺
11.03.23	Yate Town - North Leigh	1:3 ✺
04.03.23	Yate Town - Hartley Wintney	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Plymouth Parkway - Yate Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
06.12.22	Yate Town - Chesham United	0:3
29.01.22	Chesham United - Yate Town	1:0
09.10.21	Yate Town - Chesham United	1:1
17.10.20	Yate Town - Chesham United	0:1
21.01.20	Yate Town - Chesham United	4:1
28.09.19	Chesham United - Yate Town	4:2

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