Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Plymouth Parkway		Metropolitan Police

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.5	3.1
	1.97	3.95	2.85
	1.93	4.03	3.2
	1.94	3.82	3.24
	1.9	3.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.63)	3.81 ↑ (3.7)	3.13 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
47%

Draw
23.9%

Metropolitan Police
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.1%

24.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

25.3%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Parkway's performance.

Metropolitan Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metropolitan Police might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Parkway that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitan Police than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metropolitan Police could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Plymouth Parkway - Metropolitan Police Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Plymouth Parkway will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 and 8).

Plymouth Parkway in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Metropolitan Police is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Plymouth Parkway have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
11.03.23	Plymouth Parkway - Swindon Supermarine	2:1 ✺
07.03.23	Plymouth Parkway - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Hendon - Plymouth Parkway	3:1 ✺
28.02.23	Poole Town - Plymouth Parkway	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Plymouth Parkway - Yate Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLTW
- Metropolitan Police
English Southern League South Division
11.03.23	Poole Town - Metropolitan Police	1:1 ✺
07.03.23	Metropolitan Police - North Leigh	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Metropolitan Police - Salisbury	0:3 ✺
25.02.23	Gosport Borough - Metropolitan Police	0:2 ✺
21.02.23	Metropolitan Police - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
14.01.23	Metropolitan Police - Plymouth Parkway	1:0

Plymouth Parkway - Metropolitan Police