Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 27

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Yate Town		North Leigh

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	3
	1.78	3.6	3.7
	2	3.47	3.13
	2.01	3.64	3.18
	2.05	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.82)	3.56 ↓ (3.6)	3.2 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yate Town
46.2%

Draw
25.5%

North Leigh
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.9%

25.2%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

20.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

North Leigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yate Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Leigh than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Yate Town - North Leigh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Yate is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

North Leigh has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Yate is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Yate won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Yate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
04.03.23	Yate Town - Hartley Wintney	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Plymouth Parkway - Yate Town	2:1 ✺
21.02.23	Winchester City - Yate Town	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Yate Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Yate Town - Poole Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- North Leigh
English Southern League South Division
07.03.23	Metropolitan Police - North Leigh	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	North Leigh - Bracknell Town	0:5 ✺
28.02.23	North Leigh - Tiverton Town	4:2 ✺
25.02.23	Merthyr Town - North Leigh	0:3 ✺
21.02.23	North Leigh - Plymouth Parkway	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
27.08.22	North Leigh - Yate Town	3:3
English FA Trophy
29.10.16	Yate Town - North Leigh	1:6
18.10.14	Yate Town - North Leigh	1:2
English FA Cup
06.10.12	Yate Town - North Leigh	2:1

Yate Town - North Leigh

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Yate Town - North Leigh Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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