Match Info

Date: 27 September 2022, Tuesday


	Yate Town		Truro City

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.75
	3.95	3.6	1.73
	4.1	3.68	1.73
	3.75	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.26)	3.6 (3.6)	1.75 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yate Town
23.2%

Draw
25.2%

Truro City
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

25.1%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

24.7%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Yate Town - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs)).

Last 4 head-to-head matches Yate won 0.

Yate is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Truro is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Truro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Yate won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Yate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
24.09.22	Poole Town - Yate Town	5:0 ✺
14.09.22	Tiverton Town - Yate Town	4:2 ✺
29.08.22	Yate Town - Dorchester Town	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	North Leigh - Yate Town	3:3 ✺
20.08.22	Yate Town - Salisbury	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLTTL
- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
24.09.22	Truro City - Gosport Borough	1:0 ✺
14.09.22	Truro City - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
29.08.22	Tiverton Town - Truro City	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Truro City - Hendon	4:1 ✺
20.08.22	Winchester City - Truro City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
23.03.22	Truro City - Yate Town	0:0
14.09.21	Yate Town - Truro City	0:2
10.10.20	Truro City - Yate Town	2:0
05.10.19	Yate Town - Truro City	0:3

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