Match Info

First League - Round 15

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday


	Yelimay 2		Taraz

	1	X	2
	5.7	4.25	1.43
	5	4.2	1.41
	7.07	3.93	1.43	Watch
	5.55	4.2	1.42
	6.88	4.05	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.04 ↑ (5.18)	4.13 ↑ (3.7)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay 2
14.9%

Draw
21.8%

Taraz
63.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.2%

24%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

17.1%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Taraz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelimay 2 than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yelimay 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taraz than the current prediction. (-21.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taraz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yelimay 2 - Taraz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Mukanbetzhanov A. ⚽, Lesbek D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
85', Toybekov E. 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Recent performances by Yelimay 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Taraz has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Taraz is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yelimay 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Taraz	24	8	7	9	31:33	-2	31
14	Yelimay Semey 2 ✔	25	3	3	19	20:57	-37	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey 2
Kazakh First League
16.07.26	Khan Tengri - Yelimay 2	0:1 ✺
10.07.26	Yelimay 2 - Astana 2	2:1 ✺
03.07.26	Arys - Yelimay 2	3:2 ✺
25.06.26	Yelimay 2 - Turan Turkistan	0:3 ✺
18.06.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Yelimay 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 48.1 WWLLT
- FC Taraz
Kazakh First League
16.07.26	Taraz - Aktobe 2	1:1 ✺
10.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Taraz	1:0 ✺
03.07.26	Kairat 2 - Taraz	4:1 ✺
26.06.26	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Khan Tengri - Taraz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
24.04.26	Taraz - Yelimay 2	3:0

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