Match Info

First League - Round 14

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	Taraz		Aktobe 2

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.80	4.80
	1.41	4.95	5.15
	1.38	5.35	5.46	Watch
	1.40	4.85	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.53)	4.99 (4.99)	5.09 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taraz
64.2%

Draw
18.1%

Aktobe 2
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

18.3%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

17.8%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taraz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Aktobe 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taraz than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taraz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe 2 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Taraz - Aktobe 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Taraz will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aktobe 2 will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Usyk D. ⚽, Arturovich H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 1 - 1, Toybekov E. ⚽, Baytana B. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taraz won 1.

Taraz has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aktobe 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Taraz is a strong favorite.

We predict that Aktobe 2 will win today's game, with odds of 4.22.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Taraz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Taraz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 4:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Taraz	23	8	6	9	30:32	-2	30
12	Aktobe 2	23	6	5	12	38:69	-31	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Taraz
Kazakh First League
10.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Taraz	1:0 ✺
03.07.26	Kairat 2 - Taraz	4:1 ✺
26.06.26	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Khan Tengri - Taraz	2:1 ✺
11.06.26	Taraz - Astana 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Aktobe 2
Kazakh First League
09.07.26	Aktobe 2 - Khan Tengri	5:2 ✺
02.07.26	Tobol 2 - Aktobe 2	5:5 ✺
25.06.26	Aktobe 2 - Arys	3:1 ✺
11.06.26	Aktobe 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	1:4 ✺
27.05.26	Jaiyq - Aktobe 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
17.04.26	Aktobe 2 - Taraz	1:0
20.06.25	Taraz - Aktobe 2	3:3
25.10.24	Aktobe 2 - Taraz	2:2
27.06.24	Taraz - Aktobe 2	2:0
28.07.23	Aktobe 2 - Taraz	2:0
21.04.23	Taraz - Aktobe 2	7:1

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