Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Yeni Malatyaspor		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.75	1.85	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.93
	3.45	3.7	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.6	1.88
	3.98	3.86	1.93
	3.7	3.6	1.91	Watch
	3.52	3.74	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.36)	3.69 ↑ (3.51)	1.92 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeni Malatyaspor
25.6%

Draw
25.5%

Kasımpaşa
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

26.5%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

17.7%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeni Malatyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeni Malatyaspor than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yeni Malatyaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kasımpaşa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yeni Malatyaspor - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 15).

Yeni Malatyaspor has the most likely position - 20 (79.1%), has project points - 28, has currently - 20, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Kasımpaşa has the most likely position - 15 (14.25%), has project points - 48, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 31, very small importance 9, small match rating 20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yeni Malatyaspor won 1.

Yeni Malatyaspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kasımpaşa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yeni Malatyaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kasımpaşa is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Yeni Malatyaspor won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Yeni Malatyaspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeni Malatyaspor
Turkish Super League
12.03.22	Altay - Yeni Malatyaspor	1:0 ✺
04.03.22	Yeni Malatyaspor - Adana Demirspor	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Hatayspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	5:2 ✺
23.02.22	Gaziantep - Yeni Malatyaspor	0:0 ✺
19.02.22	Yeni Malatyaspor - Antalyaspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWLTL
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
12.03.22	Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor	3:1 ✺
05.03.22	Göztepe - Kasımpaşa	2:3 ✺
28.02.22	Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
18.02.22	Konyaspor - Kasımpaşa	4:4 ✺
13.02.22	Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
30.10.21	Kasımpaşa - Yeni Malatyaspor	2:0
12.04.21	Kasımpaşa - Yeni Malatyaspor	0:0
19.12.20	Yeni Malatyaspor - Kasımpaşa	2:0
13.06.20	Yeni Malatyaspor - Kasımpaşa	1:2
03.11.19	Kasımpaşa - Yeni Malatyaspor	2:2
29.04.19	Yeni Malatyaspor - Kasımpaşa	2:1
25.11.18	Kasımpaşa - Yeni Malatyaspor	3:0

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