Match Info

FNL - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Safyan R. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	12:00	Sport TV
Russia	12:00	MATCH! Planeta, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Chelyabinsk		Yenisey Krasnoyarsk

	1	X	2
	2.67	3.25	2.85
	2.6	3.05	2.8
	2.55	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.45	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.2)	3.18 ↓ (3.28)	2.73 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk
36.4%

Draw
29.4%

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

29.2%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chelyabinsk's form might have worsened.

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelyabinsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chelyabinsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Tuseev I. (G) 21. Berdnikov A. 15. Kochiev K. (C) 27. Gribakin I. 72. Bem A. 18. Kertanov K. 55. Borisov G. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 33. Pokotylo D. 70. Levin G. 29. Urvantsev M.	23. Antipin S. (G) 25. Shershov N. 33. Maslovskiy A. 55. Bogatyrev N. 8. Kanaplin A. 18. Nadolskiy A. 7. Chukanov A. 21. Ivanov E. (C) 6. Batyrev A. 87. Mazurin A. 75. Okladnikov A.
Substitutes
5. Gatin B. 74. Kacorri L. 99. Kamenshchikov D. 50. Lystsov V. 6. Makarov S. 11. Miroshnichenko G. 31. Pereverzev M. (G) 24. Pridava N. 23. Rogochiy B. 7. Safronov I. 77. Samoilov D.	10. Aliyev A. 15. Balakhonov M. 22. Gyurdzhan A. 17. Kokoev D. 90. Lomakin A. 1. Oparin M. (G) 81. Pechura R. 27. Ratkovic L. 9. Tlekhugov M. 3. Tses Y.
Coaches
Pilipchuk R.	Molchanov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Batyrev A. ↓, Pechura R. ↑,
23', 0 - 1, Ivanov E. ⚽,
37', Pokotylo D. ↓, Safronov I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bem A. ↓, Kamenshchikov D. ↑,
46', Kertanov K. ↓, Samoilov D. ↑,
60', Safronov I. 🟨,
66', Borisov G. ↓, Makarov S. ↑,
68', Ivanov E. ↓, Lomakin A. ↑,
68', Okladnikov A. ↓, Ratkovic L. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Urvantsev M. ⚽,
77', Mazurin A. ↓, Gyurdzhan A. ↑,
77', Chukanov A. ↓, Tlekhugov M. ↑,
82', Pechura R. 🟨,
88', Berdnikov A. ↓, Gatin B. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 13th and 10th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Chelyabinsk has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:3 (averaging 0:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chelyabinsk against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Chelyabinsk	15	4	3	8	19:26	-7	15
13	Yenisey	15	3	5	7	16:30	-14	14

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Chelyabinsk: 0.8% Yenisey: 0.8%

Last Results with these Odds

Chelyabinsk - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.42%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 27.45%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL
18.09.26	Chelyabinsk - Ufa	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	KAMAZ - Chelyabinsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
10.09.26	Dynamo Barnaul - Chelyabinsk	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Chelyabinsk - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sochi - Chelyabinsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWLL
- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian FNL
16.09.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Arsenal Tula	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Rotor - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	4:0 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Druzhba Maykop - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
17.04.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chelyabinsk	3:0
06.10.25	Chelyabinsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:0

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