Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 20

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Boreham Wood

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.4	1.66
	4.75	3.6	1.7	Watch
	4.88	3.61	1.71
	4.9	3.55	1.73
	4.6	3.6	1.65
	4.8	3.6	1.68
	4.75	3.6	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (3.23)	3.57 ↑ (3.48)	1.69 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
19.5%

Draw
25.9%

Boreham Wood
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

26.5%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

26.1%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bath City's form might have worsened.

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boreham Wood's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bath City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boreham Wood, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bath City - Boreham Wood Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Appiah K. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Alves J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 2, Appiah K. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bath won 3.

Bath is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boreham Wood is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bath could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Boreham Wood is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bath won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bath won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
26.11.24	Bath City - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Eastbourne Borough - Bath City	1:0 ✺
19.11.24	Bath City - Maidstone United	3:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Bath City - Chertsey Town	2:3 ✺
English National League South
09.11.24	Bath City - Weston-super-Mare	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTLL
- Boreham Wood
English National League South
23.11.24	Boreham Wood - Torquay United	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Boreham Wood - Felixstowe & Walton United	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League South
12.11.24	Boreham Wood - Truro City	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Aveley - Boreham Wood	1:0 ✺
06.11.24	Boreham Wood - Farnborough	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
10.08.24	Boreham Wood - Bath City	1:0
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Bath City - Boreham Wood	1:0
English National League South
28.12.14	Bath City - Boreham Wood	2:0
30.08.14	Boreham Wood - Bath City	1:2
07.12.13	Bath City - Boreham Wood	2:2
30.11.13	Boreham Wood - Bath City	0:1
09.02.13	Boreham Wood - Bath City	0:0

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