Match Info

National League South - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Dover Athletic		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.35	2.4
	2.52	3.62	2.52	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.5
	2.48	3.32	2.47
	2.5	3.33	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.38)	3.36 ↓ (3.56)	2.49 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
35.9%

Draw
27.3%

Bath City
36.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39%

26.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

25%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Dover Athletic - Bath City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Dover (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dover (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Jones J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dover won 2.

Dover is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Bath has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Dover has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Bath will win today's game, with odds of 2.29.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dover won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dover won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Dover	13	5	4	4	19:19	0	19

Last Results with these Odds

Bath City - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.91%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League South
10.01.26	Dover Athletic - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
30.12.25	Dover Athletic - Ebbsfleet United	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Maidstone United - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Dover Athletic - Eastbourne Borough	2:5 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Dover Athletic - Hornchurch	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bath City
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Bath City - Southend United	1:3 ✺
English National League South
30.12.25	Bath City - Torquay United	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Chippenham Town - Bath City	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Bath City - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Bath City	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
16.08.25	Bath City - Dover Athletic	1:2
16.12.23	Dover Athletic - Bath City	0:0
23.09.23	Bath City - Dover Athletic	2:2
04.03.23	Dover Athletic - Bath City	0:0
29.10.22	Bath City - Dover Athletic	0:1
English FA Trophy
10.02.15	Bath City - Dover Athletic	2:1
07.02.15	Dover Athletic - Bath City	3:3

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