The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yeovil Town 38.1%
Draw 26.8%
Morecambe 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
26.9%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
27.3%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-3%)
Yeovil Town - Morecambe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ward J. (G) 19. Sims J. 26. Ferguson K. 6. Wannell J. 2. Mukena J. 18. Perrett T. 5. Cousin-Dawson F. 14. McGavin B. 10. Jones R. 38. Works T. 11. Daly J.
40. Blackman J. (G) 16. Hogan L. 5. Dean H. 12. Jameson K. 2. Payne L. 17. Lewis P. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 20. Sangare M. 7. Edwards G. 36. Nolan J. 42. Popov C.
Substitutes
34. Biss J. 22. Gould M. (G) 21. Greenslade H. 30. Hughes O. 20. Matthews Lewis M. 37. McCoy-Splatt D. 3. Whittle A.
33. Akindileni T. 8. Azeez M. 41. Boney M. (G) 10. Cain J. 21. Nuttall J. 23. Ogwuru D. 18. Tollitt B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, McGavin B. ⚽, Works T. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Edwards G. ⚽, Payne L. (A),
36', Payne L. 🟨,
39', Lewis P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', Perrett T. ↓, McCoy-Splatt D. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Daly J. ⚽, Works T. (A),
62', 3 - 1, Jones R. ⚽, McCoy-Splatt D. (A),
67', Works T. ↓, Whittle A. ↑,
68', Jameson K. ↓, Azeez M. ↑,
68', Songo'o Y. ↓, Williams B. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Nolan J. (Penalty Awarded),
77', Sangare M. ↓, Ogwuru D. ↑,
84', Jones R. ↓, Greenslade H. ↑,
87', Lewis P. ↓, Nuttall J. ↑,
87', Edwards G. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
90+6', Tollitt B. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 and 22 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yeovil won 1.
Yeovil is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Morecambe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Yeovil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Yeovil is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Yeovil won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.7:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Yeovil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).
Outrights of English National League for now
Yeovil: 2.45%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Yeovil
13
7
4
2
32:15
17
25
Last Results with these Odds
Morecambe - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.6%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.