The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yeovil Town 29.4%
Draw 27.1%
Scunthorpe United 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.6%
27.7%
46.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.5%
26.5%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yeovil Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scunthorpe United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yeovil Town - Scunthorpe United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ward J. (G) 27. Skura D. 2. Mukena J. 6. Wannell J. 19. Sims J. 28. Mafico D. 14. McGavin B. 10. Jones R. 11. Daly J. 18. Perrett T. 9. Jarvis A.
12. Jones L. (G) 15. Tahir Z. 3. Horton B. 6. Boyce A. (C) 44. Barrows R. 25. Westbrooke Z. 11. Rowley J. 17. Ewing O. 9. Whitehall D. 10. Roberts C. 32. Smith C.
Substitutes
29. Campbell T. 5. Cousin-Dawson F. 26. Ferguson K. 22. Gould M. (G) 21. Greenslade H. 30. Hughes O. 3. Whittle A.
8. Beestin A. 16. Dausch A. 33. Denton T. 30. Farrell L. 38. Mahady R. (G) 21. Starbuck J. 14. Ubaezuonu C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Ward J. 🟨,
34', Whitehall D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 0 - 1, Whitehall D. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Jarvis A. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
64', Smith C. ↓, Dausch A. ↑,
72', Barrows R. ↓, Starbuck J. ↑,
72', Whitehall D. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
72', Sims J. ↓, Greenslade H. ↑,
72', Tahir Z. ↓, Denton T. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Farrell L. ⚽, Denton T. (A),
83', McGavin B. ↓, Cousin-Dawson F. ↑,
90', Roberts C. ↓, Beestin A. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 3, Farrell L. ⚽, Denton T. (A),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yeovil won 0.
In recent matches, Yeovil has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Scunthorpe's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Yeovil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Scunthorpe might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Yeovil won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Yeovil won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Yeovil
13
7
4
2
32:15
17
25
22
Scunthorpe
12
3
1
8
15:21
-6
10
Last Results with these Odds
Scunthorpe United - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.72%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.