Match Info

National League - Round 35

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Gateshead		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.75
	2.3	3.4	2.5
	2.3	3.6	2.72
	2.32	3.78	2.83
	2.35	3.64	2.71	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.75
	2.26	3.69	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.43)	3.6 ↑ (3.58)	2.73 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
40.5%

Draw
25.6%

Morecambe
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

25.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

24.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Gateshead - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gateshead will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Morecambe will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gateshead: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gateshead (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Morecambe (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Gateshead (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gateshead (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Morecambe (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jameson P. (G) 7. Ward K. 5. Richardson K. (C) 14. Radcliffe B. 6. Nicholson B. 10. Butterfield J. 18. Grayson J. 8. Bowen S. 19. Beck M. 32. Chapman H. 21. Chadwick B.	40. Blackman J. (G) 2. Payne L. 16. Hogan L. 5. Dean H. 12. Jameson K. 7. Edwards G. 17. Lewis P. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 8. Azeez M. 36. Nolan J. 42. Popov C.
Substitutes
15. Amantchi L. 22. Anifowose J. 29. Boatswain A. 3. Ferguson D. 17. Home J. 20. John F. 9. Telford D.	33. Akindileni T. 41. Boney M. (G) 23. Ogwuru D. 20. Sangare M. 32. Thomas G. 18. Tollitt B. 15. Williams B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
3', 1 - 0, Ward K. ⚽, Beck M. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Popov C. ⚽, Payne L. (A),
26', 1 - 2, Nolan J. ⚽, Popov C. (A),
44', 1 - 3, Popov C. ⚽, Nolan J. (A),
45', Beck M. ↓, Boatswain A. ↑,
45+5', 2 - 3, Chadwick B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Butterfield J. ↓, Anifowose J. ↑,
46', Chapman H. ↓, Amantchi L. ↑,
46', Grayson J. ↓, John F. ↑,
51', 3 - 3, Chadwick B. (Penalty Awarded),
51', Payne L. 🟨,
53', 3 - 4, Popov C. ⚽, Azeez M. (A),
56', Jameson K. 🟨,
64', Nicholson B. 🟨,
73', 4 - 4, Chadwick B. ⚽, Ward K. (A),
77', Nolan J. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
84', Lewis P. ↓, Thomas G. ↑,
84', Edwards G. ↓, Williams B. ↑,
85', Songo'o Y. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
88', Chadwick B. ↓, Telford D. ↑,
90+2', Azeez M. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Morecambe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gateshead has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gateshead won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8:31	-23	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
21.02.26	Truro City - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Halifax Town - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Gateshead - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Boston United - Gateshead	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Hartlepool United - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLLL
- Morecambe
English National League
21.02.26	Morecambe - Eastleigh	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Southend United - Morecambe	5:1 ✺
10.02.26	Morecambe - Tamworth	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Morecambe - Truro City	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Altrincham - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gateshead - Morecambe	0:3
English National League
30.09.25	Morecambe - Gateshead	2:5

Gateshead - Morecambe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide