Match Info

National League - Round 38

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Morecambe		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.1	4.1
	1.7	4.05	4.15
	1.66	4.38	4.57
	1.74	4.02	4.07	Watch
	1.67	3.9	4.2
	1.69	4.19	4.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.94)	4.11 ↑ (3.58)	4.21 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
55.2%

Draw
22.7%

Braintree Town
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

25.8%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

25.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morecambe's performance.

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morecambe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Morecambe - Braintree Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Morecambe (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Morecambe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Blackman J. (G) 7. Edwards G. 16. Hogan L. 5. Dean H. 2. Payne L. 12. Jameson K. 17. Lewis P. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 8. Azeez M. 36. Nolan J. 42. Popov C.	1. Terry M. (G) 2. Francis-Clarke A. 15. Smith T. (C) 21. Drake B. 3. Clampin R. 6. Vennings J. 33. Okunowo E. 24. Massiah-Edwards Z. 18. Kamara S. 39. Thorpe E. 14. Akinde J.
Substitutes
33. Akindileni T. 41. Boney M. (G) 10. Cain J. 23. Ogwuru D. 20. Sangare M. 18. Tollitt B. 15. Williams B.	23. Akande A. 16. Babic G. 13. Blunkell J. (G) 11. Cooper C. 19. Dibley-Dias M. 10. Hadi A. 9. Walker L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Hogan L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Azeez M. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
68', Kamara S. ↓, Walker L. ↑,
70', Payne L. 🟨,
77', Massiah-Edwards Z. ↓, Dibley-Dias M. ↑,
78', Songo'o Y. ↓, Ogwuru D. ↑,
83', Francis-Clarke A. 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, Nolan J. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Nolan J. 🟨,
88', Thorpe E. ↓, Akande A. ↑,
89', Lewis P. ↓, Cain J. ↑,
90', Edwards G. ↓, Williams B. ↑,
90+3', Popov C. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Walker L. ⚽, Terry M. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Morecambe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Braintree is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Morecambe is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Morecambe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Braintree Town - the odds 3.46 are the expected chance of winning is 26.65%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English National League
07.03.26	Sutton United - Morecambe	0:5 ✺
03.03.26	Wealdstone - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Morecambe - York City	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Gateshead - Morecambe	4:4 ✺
21.02.26	Morecambe - Eastleigh	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWLTW
- Braintree Town
English National League
07.03.26	Braintree Town - Wealdstone	1:4 ✺
04.03.26	Gateshead - Braintree Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Truro City - Braintree Town	2:3 ✺
25.02.26	Braintree Town - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Altrincham - Braintree Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.11.25	Braintree Town - Morecambe	1:0

Morecambe - Braintree Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide