Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 42

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday

Location: Huish Park (Yeovil)


	Yeovil Town		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.72	3.75	4.33
	1.71	3.7	4.75
	1.71	3.7	4.75
	1.67	3.78	4.64
	1.67	3.65	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.45)	3.7 ↓ (4.33)	4.51 ↓ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeovil Town
54.6%

Draw
24.9%

Torquay United
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

21.2%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

21.6%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yeovil Town's form might have worsened.

Torquay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yeovil Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torquay United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yeovil Town - Torquay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Clarke J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Young J. ⚽,
62', 3 - 0, Clarke J. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yeovil won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Yeovil is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Yeovil won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Yeovil won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeovil Town
English National League South
23.03.24	Braintree Town - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Slough Town - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
12.03.24	Yeovil Town - Chippenham Town	1:3 ✺
09.03.24	Yeovil Town - Welling United	0:1 ✺
04.03.24	Aveley - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLLT
- Torquay United
English National League South
23.03.24	Torquay United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Tonbridge Angels - Torquay United	4:1 ✺
12.03.24	Torquay United - Taunton Town	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Torquay United - Dartford	4:1 ✺
02.03.24	Weymouth - Torquay United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Torquay United - Yeovil Town	2:1
English National League South
07.11.23	Torquay United - Yeovil Town	1:3
English National League
01.01.23	Yeovil Town - Torquay United	2:0
26.12.22	Torquay United - Yeovil Town	1:1
02.01.22	Yeovil Town - Torquay United	1:2
26.12.21	Torquay United - Yeovil Town	3:0
02.01.21	Yeovil Town - Torquay United	2:1

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