Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 28

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday


	Aveley		Yeovil Town

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2
	3.2	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.07	3.2	2.13
	3.54	3.25	2.14
	3.6	3.3	1.91
	3.32	3.3	2.11
	3.2	3.2	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (4.48)	3.23 ↓ (3.51)	2.07 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
27.6%

Draw
28.3%

Yeovil Town
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

26.6%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

26.3%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aveley's performance.

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yeovil Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aveley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yeovil Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aveley - Yeovil Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Recent matches Aveley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yeovil in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Yeovil could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Yeovil will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aveley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
02.03.24	Chelmsford City - Aveley	2:0 ✺
27.02.24	Dartford - Aveley	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Torquay United - Aveley	2:2 ✺
19.02.24	Aveley - Maidstone United	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Aveley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWTWW
- Yeovil Town
English National League South
02.03.24	Farnborough - Yeovil Town	1:3 ✺
24.02.24	Chelmsford City - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
20.02.24	Yeovil Town - Weston-super-Mare	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Yeovil Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Tonbridge Angels - Yeovil Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.10.23	Yeovil Town - Aveley	3:1

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