Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 18

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Hornchurch		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.05	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.13	3.12	3.64
	2.12	3.16	3.61
	2	3.1	3.6
	2.04	3.18	3.59
	2.05	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.89)	3.17 ↓ (3.18)	3.53 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
44.8%

Draw
29.1%

Weymouth
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28.6%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

29.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Hornchurch - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Wraight T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 17 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Hornchurch is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Weymouth is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hornchurch will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Enfield Town - Hornchurch	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League South
09.11.24	Maidstone United - Hornchurch	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	Hornchurch - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Hornchurch - Torquay United	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Boreham Wood - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWWT
- Weymouth
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	2:3 ✺
English National League South
09.11.24	Weymouth - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
05.11.24	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Aveley - Weymouth	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Weymouth - Farnborough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WTTWT

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