Match Info

National League - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN
World	DAZN National League


	Hartlepool United		Worthing

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.70	2.70
	2.25	3.50	2.55
	2.30	3.55	2.70
	2.48	3.89	2.62
	2.28	3.62	2.83	Watch
	2.40	3.85	2.55
	2.26	3.79	2.77
	2.29	3.65	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.79)	3.69 ↓ (3.88)	2.68 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
40.2%

Draw
25.1%

Worthing
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

23.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

23.4%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartlepool United's form might have worsened.

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Worthing's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartlepool United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Worthing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hartlepool United - Worthing Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Worthing (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Worthing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Fisher N. (G) 6. McNally R. (C) 3. John C. 27. Gibson L. 2. Benn J. 14. Sheron N. 8. Miley J. 7. Ilunga B. 42. Deeming C. 10. Harris W. 17. Nolan J.	13. Seymour T. (G) 6. Moore J. 12. Ransom H. 28. Waller C. 2. Colbran J. (C) 4. Wadham J. 15. Aguiar R. 10. Hutchinson D. 3. Adjetey-Brew C. 27. Young J. 24. Kendall C.
Substitutes
30. Bondo T. 22. Darcy C. 9. Hugill J. 15. Penman C. 19. Popov C. 41. Smith A. (G) 21. Thornton C.	25. Boddy H. 7. Coleman De-Graft R. 5. Cook J. 21. Marquez J. 11. Nathaniel-George A. 16. Packham S. 17. Smith B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', John C. 🟨,
31', Wadham J. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Adjetey-Brew C. ⚽, Aguiar R. (A),
36', Gibson L. ↓, Penman C. ↑,
39', Hutchinson D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hutchinson D. ↓, Coleman De-Graft R. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Aguiar R. ⚽,
63', Nolan J. ↓, Thornton C. ↑,
70', Deeming C. ↓, Bondo T. ↑,
71', Ilunga B. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
71', Sheron N. ↓, Popov C. ↑,
75', Kendall C. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
75', Wadham J. ↓, Packham S. ↑,
76', Young J. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Harris W. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, Marquez J. ⚽, Adjetey-Brew C. (A),
90+3', Marquez J. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 16th and 13th).

Recent results have been tough for Hartlepool (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Worthing has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Hartlepool may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Worthing has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Hartlepool holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Worthing	13	7	3	3	27:18	9	24
20	Hartlepool	13	4	0	9	12:19	-7	12

Last Results with these Odds

Hartlepool United - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.85%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League North
16.09.26	Altrincham - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Hartlepool United	2:0 ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Hartlepool United - Woking	1:0 ✺
English National League North
01.09.26	Halifax Town - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
English National League
28.08.26	Hartlepool United - Eastleigh	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL
- Worthing FC
English National League North
15.09.26	Worthing - Hornchurch	1:0 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Worthing - Barrow	2:2 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Worthing - Norwich City U21	0:1 penalties ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Fylde - Worthing	2:2 ✺
English National League North
31.08.26	Worthing - Boreham Wood	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLTL

Hartlepool United - Worthing: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide