Match Info

J2 League - Round 1

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sagan Tosu		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.4	4.5
	1.83	3.10	3.90
	1.72	3.4	4.65
	1.78	3.63	5.04
	1.79	3.6	4.41
	1.71	3.55	4.95
	1.75	3.5	4.74	Watch
	1.74	3.45	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.04)	3.45 ↑ (3.11)	4.61 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagan Tosu
53%

Draw
26.9%

Ventforet Kofu
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.7%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sagan Tosu's performance.

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ventforet Kofu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Sagan Tosu - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Kofu will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tosu: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Izumori R. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 44. Abe K. 33. Ogawa S. 28. Yoshida M. 2. Matsumoto N. 6. Sakurai T. 11. Shiohama R. 18. Hyon R. 16. Nishizawa K. 9. Takahashi T.	33. Yamauchi K. (G) 20. Endo H. 22. Koide Y. 17. Fukumoto S. 13. Murakami Y. 27. Takei S. 8. Yasuda K. 7. Araki S. 26. Sato K. 14. Fujii K. 10. Naito Y.
Substitutes
26. Ando T. 42. Goto H. 4. Imazu Y. 12. Matsubara S. (G) 20. Nakahara H. 19. Park Ho-Min 29. Tanaka Y. 21. Toyoda A. 43. Yoshino K.	97. Higashi J. (G) 6. Kobayashi I. 96. Kurokawa A. 95. Mendes 19. Mizuno H. 3. Nozawa R. 23. Staccioli M. 41. Wada T. 4. Yamamoto H.
Coaches
Kogiku A.	Shibuya H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Araki S. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Takahashi T. ⚽, Nagasawa S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Sato K. ↓, Mizuno H. ↑,
67', Matsumoto N. ↓, Toyoda A. ↑,
67', Hyon R. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
75', Fujii K. ↓, Kurokawa A. ↑,
75', Murakami Y. ↓, Staccioli M. ↑,
75', Fukumoto S. ↓, Kobayashi I. ↑,
78', Takahashi T. ↓, Goto H. ↑,
82', Endo H. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
85', Nishizawa K. ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
85', Shiohama R. ↓, Ando T. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Tanaka Y. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 2.

Tosu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tosu might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tosu won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Sagan Tosu	9	2	2	5	8:12	-4	8
20	Kofu	9	2	1	6	7:17	-10	7

Last Results with these Odds

Sagan Tosu - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.11%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	3:1 ✺
23.05.26	Sagan Tosu - Ryūkyū	2:3 penalties ✺
16.05.26	Sagan Tosu - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 penalties ✺
10.05.26	Oita Trinita - Sagan Tosu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLW
- Ventforet Kofu
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ventforet Kofu	3:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Vegalta Sendai - Ventforet Kofu	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Nagano Parceiro - Ventforet Kofu	1:0 penalties ✺
16.05.26	Ventforet Kofu - Gifu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
13.09.25	Ventforet Kofu - Sagan Tosu	2:3
11.05.25	Sagan Tosu - Ventforet Kofu	0:0
Japan Emperors Cup
13.07.22	Sagan Tosu - Ventforet Kofu	1:3
Japan J1 League
16.09.17	Sagan Tosu - Ventforet Kofu	2:1
02.07.17	Ventforet Kofu - Sagan Tosu	0:0
Japan J League Cup
31.05.17	Ventforet Kofu - Sagan Tosu	2:3
Japan J1 League
03.11.16	Ventforet Kofu - Sagan Tosu	0:1

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