Match Info

J2 League - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Pocarisweat Stadium (Naruto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tokushima Vortis		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.65	Watch
	2.60	2.80	2.60
	2.72	2.85	2.62	Watch
	2.82	3	2.9
	2.87	3.08	2.56	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.85
	2.74	2.99	2.7	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.3)	2.93 ↓ (3.13)	2.69 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
33.8%

Draw
31.7%

Sagan Tosu
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokushima Vortis's form might have worsened.

Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tosu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Tosu (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tosu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Kitamura K. C. (G) 97. Moyo M. 3. Yamada N. 2. Tanaka H. 22. Yanagisawa K. 6. Kanuma N. 8. Iwao K. 42. Takagi Y. 7. Kodama S. 16. Watari D. 9. Thonny Anderson	1. Izumori R. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 44. Abe K. 33. Ogawa S. 28. Yoshida M. 2. Matsumoto N. 6. Sakurai T. 18. Hyon R. 11. Shiohama R. 16. Nishizawa K. 9. Takahashi T.
Substitutes
31. Hasegawa T. (G) 17. Inami T. 11. Lucas Barcelos 19. Miyazaki J. 55. Shigehiro T. 10. Sugimoto T. 24. Takada S. 44. Yamaguchi T. 15. Yamakoshi K.	26. Ando T. 42. Goto H. 4. Imazu Y. 12. Matsubara S. (G) 20. Nakahara H. 19. Park Ho-Min 29. Tanaka Y. 21. Toyoda A. 43. Yoshino K.
Coaches
Yoshimoto T.	Kogiku A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Watari D. ↓, Lucas Barcelos ↑,
46', Matsumoto N. ↓, Toyoda A. ↑,
60', Iwao K. ↓, Sugimoto T. ↑,
70', Takahashi T. ↓, Goto H. ↑,
70', Hyon R. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
74', Kodama S. ↓, Shigehiro T. ↑,
74', Takagi Y. ↓, Miyazaki J. ↑,
83', Nishizawa K. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
87', Yanagisawa K. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
90+5', Sakurai T. ↓, Park Ho-Min ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 2.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokushima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Tokushima	10	4	1	5	10:12	-2	13
15	Sagan Tosu	10	3	2	5	9:12	-3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Sagan Tosu - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.81%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
08.08.26	Consadole Sapporo - Tokushima Vortis	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
07.06.26	Tokushima Vortis - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	3:1 ✺
24.05.26	Tokushima Vortis - Imabari	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Kataller Toyama - Tokushima Vortis	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWTW
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 League
08.08.26	Sagan Tosu - Ventforet Kofu	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	3:1 ✺
23.05.26	Sagan Tosu - Ryūkyū	2:3 penalties ✺
16.05.26	Sagan Tosu - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
30.05.26	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	3:1
Japan J2 League
02.11.25	Sagan Tosu - Tokushima Vortis	0:0
06.05.25	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	0:1
Japan J1 League
03.10.21	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	3:0
01.05.21	Sagan Tosu - Tokushima Vortis	2:0
Japan Emperors Cup
11.07.18	Sagan Tosu - Tokushima Vortis	3:1
Japan J1 League
22.11.14	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	0:1

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