Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 28

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: MNHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Yokohama FC		Tokushima Vortis

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.55	3.4	5.5
	1.57	3.6	6	Watch
	1.59	3.83	6.88
	1.61	3.6	6.01	Watch
	1.5	3.7	5.8
	1.56	3.78	5.79	Watch
	1.57	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.69)	3.64 ↑ (3.63)	6.06 ↑ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama FC
59.3%

Draw
25.5%

Tokushima Vortis
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.9%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

24.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Yokohama FC - Tokushima Vortis Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Yokohama FC will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Tokushima will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FC: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ichikawa A. (G) 5. Gabriel 2. Nduka B. 24. Fukumori A. 8. Yamane T. 4. Yuri Lara 7. Inoue S. 14. Nakano Y. 78. Paulo J. 13. Ogawa K. 38. Takahashi T.	21. Tanaka H. (G) 4. Kaique 5. Mori K. 26. Aoki H. 18. Elsinho 54. Nagaki R. 10. Sugimoto T. 44. Yamaguchi T. 9. Browne N. 8. Kakitani Y. 41. Murakami Y.
Substitutes
10. Caprini 15. Ito S. 20. Murata T. 1. Nagai K. (G) 3. Nakamura T. 34. Ogura H. 9. Sakuragawa S.	31. Hasegawa T. (G) 3. Ishio R. 28. Kanuma N. 17. Takada S. 30. Tsuboi K. 88. Watai M. 16. Watari D.
Coaches
Yomoda S.	Masuda K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Yuri Lara ⚽,
17', Kaique 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Browne N. ↓, Watari D. ↑,
60', Elsinho ↓, Takada S. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Paulo J. ⚽,
72', Paulo J. ↓, Caprini ↑,
73', Inoue S. ↓, Ogura H. ↑,
73', Ogawa K. ↓, Ito S. ↑,
80', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Ishio R. ↑,
80', Murakami Y. ↓, Tsuboi K. ↑,
80', Sugimoto T. ↓, Watai M. ↑,
80', Takahashi T. ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
86', Nakano Y. ↓, Murata T. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yokohama FC won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Yokohama FC is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Yokohama FC won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Yokohama FC won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama FC
Japan J2 League
17.08.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Yokohama FC	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	Yokohama FC - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Yokohama FC - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	Mito HollyHock - Yokohama FC	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Sagan Tosu - Yokohama FC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTWTL
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
17.08.24	Tokushima Vortis - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
03.08.24	Ehime - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
14.07.24	Tokushima Vortis - Vegalta Sendai	2:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Vissel Kobe - Tokushima Vortis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
08.06.24	Tokushima Vortis - Yokohama FC	0:1
10.07.22	Tokushima Vortis - Yokohama FC	1:1
15.05.22	Yokohama FC - Tokushima Vortis	2:1
Japan J1 League
16.10.21	Yokohama FC - Tokushima Vortis	5:3
21.03.21	Tokushima Vortis - Yokohama FC	2:1
Japan J2 League
10.11.19	Tokushima Vortis - Yokohama FC	0:1
15.06.19	Yokohama FC - Tokushima Vortis	1:2

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