Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 24

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Mito HollyHock		Yokohama FC

	1	X	2
	5	3.6	1.67	Watch
	4.75	3.4	1.62
	5	3.6	1.66	Watch
	5.56	3.74	1.7
	4.83	3.57	1.73	Watch
	5	3.5	1.6
	5.13	3.6	1.65	Watch
	5.2	3.6	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (5.02)	3.58 ↓ (3.69)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
18.3%

Draw
25.9%

Yokohama FC
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

25%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

24.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Yokohama FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Mito HollyHock - Yokohama FC Predictions

Users Predictions: Yokohama FC will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Matsubara S. (G) 17. Nagasawa S. 33. Ushizawa T. 4. Yamada N. 3. Osaki K. 23. Koda H. 10. Maeda R. 47. Sakurai T. 7. Arai H. 39. Yamamoto H. 11. Kusano Y.	21. Ichikawa A. (G) 5. Gabriel 2. Nduka B. 24. Fukumori A. 3. Nakamura T. 4. Yuri Lara 7. Inoue S. 14. Nakano Y. 10. Caprini 13. Ogawa K. 9. Sakuragawa S.
Substitutes
9. Ando M. 1. Homma K. (G) 32. Ikari A. 22. Kubo S. 8. Ochiai R. 38. Saito S. 30. Tokuno S.	15. Ito S. 22. Iwatake K. 20. Murata T. 33. Muroi K. 1. Nagai K. (G) 38. Takahashi T. 6. Wada T.
Coaches
Mori N.	Yomoda S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Nduka B. 🟨,
23', Yamamoto H. ↓, Ochiai R. ↑,
32', Caprini 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 1 - 0, Kusano Y. ⚽, Arai H. (A),
59', Ogawa K. ↓, Muroi K. ↑,
59', Kusano Y. ↓, Ando M. ↑,
59', Koda H. ↓, Saito S. ↑,
63', Matsubara S. 🟨,
66', 2 - 0, Saito S. ⚽, Ando M. (A),
69', Caprini ↓, Ito S. ↑,
69', Gabriel ↓, Murata T. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Ito S. ⚽,
83', Sakuragawa S. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
85', Arai H. ↓, Ikari A. ↑,
85', Ochiai R. ↓, Kubo S. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Takahashi T. ⚽, Nakano Y. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 0.

Mito HollyHock is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yokohama FC is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Yokohama FC is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Mito HollyHock won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Mito HollyHock	3:2 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
06.07.24	Fujieda MYFC - Mito HollyHock	3:1 ✺
29.06.24	Mito HollyHock - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Tokushima Vortis - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Mito HollyHock - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTLW
- Yokohama FC
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Sagan Tosu - Yokohama FC	3:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
06.07.24	Yokohama FC - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Iwaki - Yokohama FC	0:4 ✺
22.06.24	Yokohama FC - Roasso Kumamoto	5:0 ✺
15.06.24	Fujieda MYFC - Yokohama FC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
03.05.24	Yokohama FC - Mito HollyHock	2:0
02.07.22	Mito HollyHock - Yokohama FC	1:2
13.03.22	Yokohama FC - Mito HollyHock	3:2
10.08.19	Yokohama FC - Mito HollyHock	0:0
22.06.19	Mito HollyHock - Yokohama FC	1:1
16.09.18	Yokohama FC - Mito HollyHock	1:2
25.03.18	Mito HollyHock - Yokohama FC	0:0

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