Match Info

JAPAN: Emperors Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)


	Vissel Kobe		Tokushima Vortis

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.75
	1.57	3.7	4.75
	1.57	4	5.5
	1.59	4.09	5.43
	1.59	4.17	5.11	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5
	1.59	4.05	5.3	Watch
	1.59	4.1	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.31)	4 ↓ (5.2)	5.09 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
58.7%

Draw
23.1%

Tokushima Vortis
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

17.8%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

17.2%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vissel Kobe's form might have worsened.

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokushima Vortis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vissel Kobe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Vissel Kobe - Tokushima Vortis Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tokushima will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Obi P. O. (G) 19. Hatsuse R. 7. Ideguchi Y. 2. Iino N. 55. Iwanami T. 81. Kikuchi R. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 26. Patric J. 22. Sasaki D. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 30. Yamauchi K.	21. Tanaka H. (C) 26. Aoki H. 14. Hyon R. 3. Ishio R. 4. Kaique 20. Kodama S. 33. Nakano K. 13. Nishino T. 11. Sugimori K. 17. Takada S. 15. Tanahashi A.
Substitutes
21. Arai S. (G) 44. Hidaka M. 23. Hirose R. 15. Honda Y. 31. Nakasaka Y. 10. Osako Y. 96. Yamaguchi H.	9. Browne N. 42. Hashimoto K. 29. Mitsui D. (G) 54. Nagaki R. 10. Sugimoto T. 30. Tsuboi K. 6. Uchida K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, Sasaki D. ⚽,
73', 2 - 0, Osako Y. ⚽,
75', Sugimori K. ↓, Sugimoto T. ↑,
75', Nishino T. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vissel Kobe won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Tokushima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vissel Kobe is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Vissel Kobe won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vissel Kobe won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
05.07.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Vissel Kobe	1:3 ✺
30.06.24	Vissel Kobe - Kashima Antlers	3:1 ✺
26.06.24	Vissel Kobe - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	Gamba Osaka - Vissel Kobe	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	Vissel Kobe - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTLW
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
06.07.24	Ventforet Kofu - Tokushima Vortis	1:3 ✺
29.06.24	Tokushima Vortis - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2 ✺
23.06.24	Tokushima Vortis - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	JEF United Chiba - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Tokushima Vortis - Vegalta Sendai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.11.21	Vissel Kobe - Tokushima Vortis	1:0
Japan Emperors Cup
07.07.21	Vissel Kobe - Tokushima Vortis	1:0
Japan J League Cup
19.05.21	Tokushima Vortis - Vissel Kobe	0:3
21.04.21	Vissel Kobe - Tokushima Vortis	0:1
Japan J1 League
06.03.21	Tokushima Vortis - Vissel Kobe	1:1
18.10.14	Tokushima Vortis - Vissel Kobe	2:2
12.04.14	Vissel Kobe - Tokushima Vortis	3:0

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