The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sagan Tosu 25.9%
Draw 26.9%
Yokohama FC 47.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
30%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
29.1%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sagan Tosu's form might have worsened.
Yokohama FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yokohama FC's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sagan Tosu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yokohama FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
6.7%
73.3%
Sagan Tosu - Yokohama FC Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Yokohama FC will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FC: 50.9% โ 95.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 11. Araujo V. 14. Fujita N. (C) 18. Hino S. 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 28. Maruhashi Y. 19. Moriya K. 88. Naganuma Y. 32. Sakaiya K. 7. Tezuka K. 16. Ueebisu K.
1. Nagai K. (G) 15. Ito S. 22. Iwatake K. (C) 48. Matsushita I. 20. Murata T. 33. Muroi K. 3. Nakamura T. 34. Ogura H. 38. Takahashi T. 17. Takeda E. 6. Wada T.
Substitutes
21. Horigome Y. 23. Kikuchi T. 3. Kimura S. 36. Kitajima F. 51. Lee Yoon-sung (G) 99. Marcelo Ryan 25. Watanabe R.
10. Caprini 40. Endo M. (G) 56. Hashimoto J. 14. Nakano Y. 2. Nduka B. 9. Sakuragawa S. 4. Yuri Lara
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Sakaiya K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Araujo V. ⚽,
50', 3 - 0, Tezuka K. ⚽,
53', 3 - 1, Takahashi T. ⚽,
66', Wada T. ↓, Yuri Lara ↑,
66', Matsushita I. ↓, Nakano Y. ↑,
66', Sakaiya K. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
66', Tezuka K. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
73', Moriya K. ↓, Kimura S. ↑,
74', Takahashi T. ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
74', Ito S. ↓, Caprini ↑,
79', Takeda E. ↓, Nduka B. ↑,
82', Araujo V. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
82', Hino S. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 2.
Recent matches Tosu is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Yokohama FC in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Tosu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Yokohama FC will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Tosu won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-4.