Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 12

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)


	Barnet		Fylde

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	6.5
	1.35	4.75	6.25
	1.33	5.5	7.5
	1.31	5.74	7.99
	1.37	5.41	6.77
	1.29	5.5	7.5
	1.32	5.35	7.27
	1.33	5.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)	5.38 ↓ (5.42)	7.16 ↓ (7.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
69.8%

Draw
17.3%

Fylde
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

17.1%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7%

15.9%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Barnet - Fylde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayes N. (G) 17. Brunt Z. 12. Chapman H. 15. Glover R. 18. Hartigan A. 11. Kanu I. 26. Kenlock M. 22. Oluwo A. 19. Shelton M. 10. Stead C. 25. Tavares N.	31. Winterbottom B. (G) 3. Evans O. 2. Gamble P. 10. Haughton N. 23. Hosannah B. J. 7. Jolley C. 6. Long A. 8. Mitchell E. 40. Riley J. 11. Ustabasi J. 17. Whelan C.
Substitutes
3. Coker B. 32. Cropper J. 13. Gillmore J. (G) 33. Hobson B. 9. Kabamba N. 30. Kizzi J. 6. Okimo J.	36. Hailwood J. 20. Massey G. 5. Obi E. 34. O'Kane T. 1. Richardson T. (G) 21. Roberts T. 9. Zanzala O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Ustabasi J. 🟨,
56', Chapman H. ↓, Kabamba N. ↑,
57', Shelton M. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Kabamba N. ⚽, Brunt Z. (A),
61', Ustabasi J. ↓, Massey G. ↑,
67', Shelton M. ↓, Hobson B. ↑,
73', Oluwo A. 🟨,
73', Kanu I. ↓, Coker B. ↑,
74', Riley J. 🟨,
75', Riley J. ↓, Obi E. ↑,
76', Coker B. 🟨,
79', Brunt Z. ↓, Cropper J. ↑,
81', Evans O. ↓, Zanzala O. ↑,
81', Jolley C. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
88', Long A. ↓, O'Kane T. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Stead C. ⚽,
90+6', Glover R. ↓, Okimo J. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnet won 4.

Barnet is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fylde is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barnet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barnet is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Barnet to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Barnet won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnet won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English National League
24.09.24	Aldershot Town - Barnet	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Wealdstone - Barnet	0:3 ✺
14.09.24	Barnet - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
10.09.24	Barnet - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Gateshead - Barnet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL
- AFC Fylde
English National League
24.09.24	Fylde - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Fylde - Woking	1:1 ✺
17.09.24	Fylde - Southend United	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	York City - Fylde	3:0 ✺
10.09.24	Forest Green Rovers - Fylde	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
17.02.24	Fylde - Barnet	2:4
03.10.23	Barnet - Fylde	2:1
07.12.19	Barnet - Fylde	2:1
01.10.19	Fylde - Barnet	0:4
19.04.19	Fylde - Barnet	1:0
English FA Trophy
23.02.19	Fylde - Barnet	1:0 penalties
English National League
22.09.18	Barnet - Fylde	1:1

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