Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 11

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Recreation Ground (Aldershot)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	National League TV


	Aldershot Town		Barnet

	1	X	2
	3.8	4	1.7
	3.7	3.75	1.71
	4	4	1.78
	4.13	4.07	1.78
	4.03	4	1.76	Watch
	3.7	3.8	1.75
	3.87	3.98	1.75
	4	4	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.29)	3.95 ↑ (3.79)	1.75 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
23.7%

Draw
23.4%

Barnet
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

24.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

23.7%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	42.9%	57.1%

Aldershot Town - Barnet Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Dewhurst M. (G) 22. Barham J. 2. Byrd L. 23. Ghandour H. 7. Hargreaves C. 17. Jones A. 11. Jones R. 5. Maghoma C. 25. Menayese R. 34. Tetek D. 6. Widdrington T.	1. Hayes N. (G) 17. Brunt Z. 15. Glover R. 18. Hartigan A. 33. Hobson B. 9. Kabamba N. 11. Kanu I. 26. Kenlock M. 22. Oluwo A. 19. Shelton M. 25. Tavares N.
Substitutes
21. Akpan A. 10. Barrett J. 9. Corbett K. 27. Henry J. 26. Milner-Smith 24. Mullins M. 1. van Stappershoef J. (G)	3. Coker B. 32. Cropper J. 13. Gillmore J. (G) 23. Grimwood J. 30. Kizzi J. 6. Okimo J. 10. Stead C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Glover R. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Kabamba N. ⚽,
27', Dewhurst M. 🟨,
29', Shelton M. 🟨,
31', Jones A. 🟥,
45', Widdrington T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shelton M. ↓, Kizzi J. ↑,
61', Glover R. ↓, Coker B. ↑,
66', Kabamba N. 🟨,
66', Hobson B. ↓, Stead C. ↑,
68', Menayese R. 🟨,
68', Brunt Z. 🟨,
78', Tetek D. ↓, Henry J. ↑,
81', Jones R. 🟨,
84', Ghandour H. ↓, Corbett K. ↑,
84', Barham J. ↓, Mullins M. ↑,
87', Kenlock M. ↓, Okimo J. ↑,
89', Kanu I. ↓, Cropper J. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 2.

Recent matches Aldershot is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barnet is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Barnet is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldershot won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
21.09.24	Aldershot Town - York City	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Boston United - Aldershot Town	1:1 ✺
10.09.24	Ebbsfleet United - Aldershot Town	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTTLW
- Barnet
English National League
21.09.24	Wealdstone - Barnet	0:3 ✺
14.09.24	Barnet - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
10.09.24	Barnet - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Gateshead - Barnet	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Barnet - Tamworth	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
20.02.24	Aldershot Town - Barnet	1:0
19.09.23	Barnet - Aldershot Town	2:1
25.02.23	Barnet - Aldershot Town	4:1
03.09.22	Aldershot Town - Barnet	3:1
05.02.22	Aldershot Town - Barnet	1:3
30.10.21	Barnet - Aldershot Town	2:1
17.04.21	Barnet - Aldershot Town	3:1

Upcoming Matches