Match Info

League Two - Round 1

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: York Community Stadium (York)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	York City		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.30	3.10
	2.22	3.3	3.05	Watch
	2.28	3.5	3.12
	2.3	3.35	2.97	Watch
	2.25	3.45	3.05
	2.24	3.18	3.24	Watch
	2.23	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.18)	3.32 ↑ (3.26)	3.11 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
41.7%

Draw
28.2%

Bristol Rovers
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

28.4%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

York City - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McNally A. (G) 24. Williams M. 5. Johnson Z. 3. Kitching M. 23. Felix J. 28. Banks O. 8. Hunt A. 12. Boyes H. 7. Grey J. 10. Pearce O. (C) 20. Akinyemi D.	1. Young B. (G) 22. Gough K. 4. Balmer K. 26. Harbottle R. 23. Southam-Hales M. 21. Smallwood R. (C) 6. Mola C. 3. Sparkes J. 7. Forde S. 29. Cavegn F. 9. Quigley J.
Substitutes
2. Fallowfield R. 15. King J. 33. McArthur C. 4. Medley Z. 30. Newby A. 16. Read A. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)	11. Aitchison J. 32. Binns C. (G) 10. Kamwa B. 5. Kilgour A. 24. Leigh T. 18. Rijks M. 8. Russell-Denny R.
Coaches
Lindsey S.	Evans S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Mola C. ⚽, Cavegn F. (A),
43', Akinyemi D. ↓, Newby A. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Newby A. ⚽, Grey J. (A),
61', Smallwood R. ↓, Leigh T. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Boyes H. ⚽, Pearce O. (A),
68', Quigley J. ↓, Russell-Denny R. ↑,
69', Hunt A. ↓, Read A. ↑,
70', Banks O. 🟨,
78', Williams M. 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Leigh T. (Penalty Awarded),
80', 3 - 2, Boyes H. ⚽, Newby A. (A),
83', Boyes H. ↓, Medley Z. ↑,
84', Forde S. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York won 0.

York is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bristol Rovers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

York may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, York has had a series of home games.

York will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Kilgour A. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, York won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, York won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	York City	9	4	3	2	17:11	6	15
9	Bristol Rovers	10	5	0	5	15:17	-2	15

Last Results with these Odds

Bristol Rovers - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 29.04%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English League Cup
03.08.26	York City - Crawley Town	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	York City - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	York City - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:2 ✺
18.07.26	York City - Sunderland	1:5 ✺
11.07.26	York City - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTLW
- Bristol Rovers
English League Cup
08.08.26	Bristol Rovers - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.26	Forest Green Rovers - Bristol Rovers	2:2 ✺
18.07.26	Bristol Rovers - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
14.07.26	Bristol Rovers - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Weston-super-Mare - Bristol Rovers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
30.04.16	York City - Bristol Rovers	1:4
12.12.15	Bristol Rovers - York City	2:1
18.01.14	York City - Bristol Rovers	0:0
English FA Cup
19.11.13	York City - Bristol Rovers	2:3
08.11.13	Bristol Rovers - York City	3:3
English League Two
24.08.13	Bristol Rovers - York City	3:2
30.03.13	Bristol Rovers - York City	0:0

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