Match Info

League Two - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: York Community Stadium (York) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)


	York City		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.10	5.50	Watch
	1.62	4.00	4.80
	1.61	3.65	4.75	Watch
	1.60	4.42	5.51
	1.73	3.76	4.4	Watch
	1.54	4.35	5.45
	1.55	4.10	5.51	Watch
	1.57	4.10	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.67)	4.06 ↑ (3.78)	5.14 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
58.8%

Draw
23%

Exeter City
18.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.4%

24.5%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

22.7%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with York City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

York City - Exeter City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McNally A. (G) 24. Williams M. 2. Fallowfield R. (C) 3. Kitching M. 23. Felix J. 8. Hunt A. 28. Banks O. 12. Boyes H. 30. Newby A. 10. Pearce O. 7. Grey J.	1. Bycroft J. (G) 24. Harper V. 40. James E. 5. Fitzwater J. (C) 23. Sutherland E. 7. Edwards G. 12. Cole R. 16. Cummins C. 8. Perry T. 19. Cox S. 10. Gordon J.
Substitutes
17. Hewitt C. 15. King J. 18. Malcolm J. 33. McArthur C. 4. Medley Z. 16. Read A. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)	43. Alsop T. 20. Birch G. 18. Oakes L. 11. Oluwabori A. 22. Phillips F. (G) 2. Samuel L. 37. Wilson K.
Coaches
Lindsey S.	Taylor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Newby A. ⚽, Boyes H. (A),
33', Cole R. 🟨,
35', Edwards G. 🟨,
41', Williams M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cox S. ↓, Birch G. ↑,
52', Fallowfield R. 🟨,
62', Cummins C. 🟨,
66', Pearce O. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
66', Hunt A. ↓, Read A. ↑,
67', Felix J. ↓, King J. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Malcolm J. ⚽, Boyes H. (A),
77', Sutherland E. ↓, Samuel L. ↑,
77', Boyes H. ↓, Hewitt C. ↑,
82', Perry T. ↓, Oakes L. ↑,
82', Cole R. ↓, Oluwabori A. ↑,
90+1', Newby A. ↓, Medley Z. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Fitzwater J. ⚽, Oluwabori A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York won 2.

York has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Exeter's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, York has had a series of home games.

In this match, York is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in York: Maguire F. (Inactive) Palmer A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Exeter: Turns E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in York: Akinyemi D. (Inactive) Stones J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Exeter: Kite H. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, York won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, York won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	York City	13	5	5	3	22:16	6	20
8	Exeter	13	5	4	4	10:7	3	19

Outrights of English League Two for now

York City: 10.95% Exeter: 2.32%

Last Results with these Odds

York City - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Exeter City - the odds 4.62 are the expected chance of winning is 20.08%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English League Two
22.08.26	Rotherham United - York City	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	York City - Bristol Rovers	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
03.08.26	York City - Crawley Town	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	York City - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	York City - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLLT
- Exeter City
English League Two
22.08.26	Exeter City - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Grimsby Town - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
10.08.26	Plymouth Argyle - Exeter City	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Exeter City - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Torquay United - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
16.02.16	York City - Exeter City	2:0
22.08.15	Exeter City - York City	0:0
28.02.15	York City - Exeter City	0:0
23.08.14	Exeter City - York City	1:1
01.03.14	York City - Exeter City	2:1
31.08.13	Exeter City - York City	2:1
05.01.13	York City - Exeter City	1:2

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