The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 46.8%
Draw 27.6%
Accrington Stanley 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.3%
27.3%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
27.8%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Exeter City - Accrington Stanley Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bycroft J. (G) 40. James E. 5. Fitzwater J. (C) 3. Woodhouse L. 7. Edwards G. 31. Doyle-Hayes J. 16. Cummins C. 24. Harper V. 12. Cole R. 10. Gordon J. 9. Wareham J.
1. Moulden L. (G) 4. Moore T. 5. Rawson F. 17. Matthews D. 38. O'Brien C. 2. Love D. 28. Conneely S. (C) 22. Anderson J. 7. Whalley S. 39. Woods J. 18. Caton C.
Substitutes
20. Birch G. 19. Cox S. 11. Oluwabori A. 8. Perry T. 22. Phillips F. (G) 2. Samuel L. 23. Sutherland E.
20. Brown C. 6. Coyle L. 10. Henderson A. 14. Mols S. 21. Rogerson J. (G) 3. Sass F. 13. Stockton C.
Coaches
Taylor M.
Doolan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Fitzwater J. ⚽, Woodhouse L. (A),
13', 2 - 0, Conneely S. (Own goal),
45+1', Woods J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Wareham J. 🟨,
55', Harper V. 🟨,
63', Whalley S. ↓, Stockton C. ↑,
68', Fitzwater J. 🟨,
70', Gordon J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
70', Harper V. ↓, Sutherland E. ↑,
78', O'Brien C. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
78', Conneely S. ↓, Coyle L. ↑,
78', Caton C. ↓, Mols S. ↑,
81', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, Perry T. ↑,
81', Cole R. ↓, Birch G. ↑,
85', Moore T. 🟨,
89', Edwards G. ↓, Oluwabori A. ↑,
89', Stockton C. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 2.
Exeter is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Accrington has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Exeter has had a series of away games.
Exeter could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Exeter: Turns E.
(Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).
Watch
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Bycroft J. (G) 
James E. 
Doyle-Hayes J. 
Harper V. 
Love D. 
Coyle L. 
Mols S. 
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