Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 April 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zanovelli P. C. (Bra)


	Ypiranga		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.38	Watch
	2.85	2.95	2.35
	2.8	3	2.5
	2.86	3.02	2.61
	3	2.8	2.45
	2.93	3.02	2.48
	2.95	2.9	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.33)	2.97 ↓ (3.02)	2.47 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
31.7%

Draw
31.1%

Botafogo RJ
37.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.4%

30.3%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

29.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ypiranga - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Ypiranga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botafogo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Botafogo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
25.03.23	Grêmio - Ypiranga	3:1 penalties ✺
19.03.23	Ypiranga - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
15.03.23	Ypiranga - Red Bull Bragantino	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
11.03.23	Ypiranga - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
04.03.23	Caxias - Ypiranga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWWTL
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
09.04.23	Botafogo RJ - Audax Rio	5:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.23	Deportes Magallanes - Botafogo RJ	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
02.04.23	Audax Rio - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
27.03.23	Botafogo RJ - Portuguesa RJ	3:1 ✺
18.03.23	Portuguesa RJ - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWWT

Ypiranga - Botafogo RJ

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Ypiranga - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Preview

Form

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