Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio El Teniente (Rancagua)

Referee: Ferreyra C. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Deportes Magallanes		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.75	3.1	2.05
	3.7	3.05	2.14
	4.05	3.17	2.07
	3.8	3	2
	3.88	3.18	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.15	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.43)	3.13 ↓ (3.24)	2.06 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Magallanes
24.6%

Draw
29.9%

Botafogo RJ
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

28.4%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

27.9%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	23.1%	46.2%

Deportes Magallanes - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Magallanes will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Botafogo will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Magallanes is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Botafogo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Magallanes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Botafogo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Primera Division
01.04.23	Palestino - Deportes Magallanes	3:2 ✺
19.03.23	Deportes Magallanes - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.03.23	Independiente Medellín - Deportes Magallanes	2:0 ✺
08.03.23	Deportes Magallanes - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
05.03.23	Colo-Colo - Deportes Magallanes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
02.04.23	Audax Rio - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
27.03.23	Botafogo RJ - Portuguesa RJ	3:1 ✺
18.03.23	Portuguesa RJ - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
15.03.23	Botafogo RJ - Brasiliense	7:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.03.23	Botafogo RJ - Portuguesa RJ	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTWL

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