Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 11

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio José do Rego Maciel (Recife)


	Santa Cruz Recife		Ypiranga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.00	4.20
	1.82	3	4.25	Watch
	1.86	3.07	4.37
	1.88	3.11	4.46
	1.85	2.88	4.2
	1.82	3.05	4.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.88)	3.02 ↓ (3.21)	4.32 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
49.2%

Draw
29.9%

Ypiranga
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

28.2%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

27%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Santa Cruz Recife - Ypiranga Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Santa Cruz will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago Coelho (G) 6. Alex Ruan 27. Edson Miranda 3. Eurico 37. Everaldo 20. Patrick Allan 5. Pedro Favela 17. Ronald 23. Tiago Marques (C) 18. Vitinho 4. William Alves	29. Gabriel Werner (G) 2. Cleiton 23. Danielzinho 27. Dionisio 20. Dudu 10. Estevao 21. Leo Gobo 80. Marcelinho 43. Ramon Vinicius 9. Renan Gorne 3. Willian Gomes (C)
Substitutes
15. Andrey 28. Eron 7. Fabinho 25. Gabriel Souza (G) 13. Matheus Vinicius 9. Quirino 19. Renato 11. Robinho 12. Rokenedy (G) 26. Silva 2. Thiago Ennes 31. Ze Mario	7. Felipe Ferreira 28. Gustavo Simoes 79. Leo Rafael 85. Lucas Maticoli (G) 16. Lucas Ramos 15. Mago 4. Reinaldo 5. Rian 11. Vini Charopem 22. Walce
Coaches
Cristian Souza	Gabardo Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Estevao ⚽,
30', Renan Gorne 🟨,
44', Alex Ruan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Patrick Allan ↓, Renato ↑,
46', Tiago Marques ↓, Eron ↑,
50', Marcelinho 🟨,
61', Cleiton ↓, Rian ↑,
61', Marcelinho ↓, Mago ↑,
67', Alex Ruan ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
67', Edson Miranda ↓, Thiago Ennes ↑,
69', Estevao ↓, Leo Rafael ↑,
69', Renan Gorne ↓, Vini Charopem ↑,
79', Everaldo (Penalty Awarded),
80', Eurico 🟨,
80', Vitinho ↓, Quirino ↑,
85', William Alves 🟨,
87', Renato 🟥,
89', Everaldo 🟨,
90+5', Leo Gobo 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 15).

Santa Cruz is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ypiranga is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Santa Cruz is a strong favorite.

We predict that Santa Cruz will win today's game, with odds of 1.85.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Santa Cruz: 41.91%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
14.06.26	Brusque - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Maringá - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Internacional de Limeira - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTTWW
- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
15.06.26	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Internacional de Limeira - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Volta Redonda - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Ypiranga - Maringá	1:4 ✺
10.05.26	Brusque - Ypiranga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLL

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