Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 18

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)

Referee: De Oliveira F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Ypiranga		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3	3.75
	1.9	3.1	4
	1.95	3.17	4.33
	1.88	3.16	4.14
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.87	3.14	4.12	Watch
	1.9	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.81)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)	4.02 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
48.1%

Draw
29.3%

Sampaio Corrêa
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

28.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

27.3%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Ypiranga - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alexander (G) 91. Anderson Uchoa (C) 8. Caio Mello 98. Caio Vitor 11. Fabricio Pereira 4. Fernando 100. Gedeilson 28. Heitor 23. Mirandinha 3. Willian Gomes 18. Ze Vitor	1. Rafael Mariano (G) 3. Betao 9. Bruno Baio 5. Cavi 15. Escuro 8. Ferreira (C) 16. Gazao 4. Itambe 18. Joao Felipe 20. Nadson Mesquita 22. Thallyson
Substitutes
88. Clayton 9. Edson Carius 20. Eduardo Henrique 6. Guilherme Santos 30. Jhonatan 33. Lucas Marques 35. Marcao (G) 7. Mateus Anderson 17. Mossoro 79. Reifit 16. Yohan	12. Alan (G) 6. Dimas 14. Fabio Aguiar 10. Gabriel Silva 23. Mauricio Maranhao 13. Onwudiwe F. 2. Rafael Luiz 17. Renan Gorne 19. Roney 21. Victor Daniel
Coaches
Thiago Carvalho	Felipe Surian

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gazao ↓, Vitinho ↑,
58', Caio Vitor ↓, Jhonatan ↑,
67', Fabricio Pereira ↓, Reifit ↑,
67', Ze Vitor ↓, Edson Carius ↑,
68', Fernando 🟨,
70', Bruno Baio ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
80', Mirandinha ↓, Lucas Marques ↑,
80', Caio Mello ↓, Mateus Anderson ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Jhonatan ⚽,
87', Nadson Mesquita ↓, Renan Gorne ↑,
87', Cavi ↓, Roney ↑,
90+3', Ferreira ↓, Fabrizio ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ypiranga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ypiranga is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
12.08.24	Floresta - Ypiranga	2:2 ✺
07.08.24	Ypiranga - Caxias	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	Ypiranga - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
31.07.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Ypiranga	1:2 ✺
28.07.24	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWLWT
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie C
12.08.24	Sampaio Corrêa - ABC	2:2 ✺
05.08.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
22.07.24	Floresta - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Sampaio Corrêa - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTTLW

Ypiranga - Sampaio Corrêa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide