Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 12

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping


	Floresta		Ypiranga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.8	3
	2.38	2.72	3.05	Watch
	2.38	2.86	3.29
				Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.2
	2.36	2.73	3.24	Watch
	2.25	2.82	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.27)	2.78 ↑ (2.74)	3.16 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
38.9%

Draw
32.5%

Ypiranga
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

33.2%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

33.7%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Floresta - Ypiranga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (G) 8. Guilherme Nunes 31. Icaro (C) 9. Jeam 4. Julio Vaz 2. Mateus Ludke 28. Pablo 6. Rafael Furlan 30. Romarinho 7. Ruan 3. Vitao	40. Ze Carlos (C) 19. Caique 5. Charles Raphael 9. Cristiano 32. Fabao 25. Gabriel Terra 79. Gabryel Martins 36. Igor Morais 16. Lucas Ramos 22. Rian K. R. d. N. 7. Roger
Substitutes
22. Cesar (G) 16. Davi Castro 12. Dheimison (G) 17. Diego Matos 25. Diogo Mourao 18. Guilherme Martineli 27. Gustavo Ramos 10. Gustavo Xuxa 15. Igor Dutra 20. Marco Antonio 29. Rodrigo 19. Rubens	34. Arthur Vellasque (G) 8. Clayton 99. Danielzinho 33. Eduardo Grechi 10. Jean Pyerre 43. Lucas Fogaca 23. Marlone 18. Montefiori T. 2. Vitor Marinho
Coaches
Leston Junior	Matheus Costa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Julio Vaz ⚽,
26', Gabryel Martins 🟨,
28', Ruan ↓, Gustavo Ramos ↑,
34', Roger 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Rian K. R. d. N. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Jeam ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fabao ↓, Jean Pyerre ↑,
53', Gabriel Terra 🟨,
56', 🟨,
61', Roger ↓, Montefiori T. ↑,
61', Gabryel Martins ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
68', Gabriel Terra ↓, Marlone ↑,
71', Jeam ↓, Rubens ↑,
71', Romarinho ↓, Gustavo Xuxa ↑,
81', Lucas Ramos ↓, Lucas Fogaca ↑,
81', Julio Vaz ↓, Guilherme Martineli ↑,
81', Gustavo Ramos ↓, Davi Castro ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Floresta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ypiranga is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Floresta could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Floresta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Floresta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Floresta - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.05%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
05.07.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Floresta	0:0 ✺
30.06.25	Floresta - Brusque	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	CS Alagoano - Floresta	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Floresta - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Ituano - Floresta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWLWT
- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
06.07.25	Ypiranga - Maringá	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	ABC - Ypiranga	0:3 ✺
15.06.25	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:0 ✺
02.06.25	Ponte Preta - Ypiranga	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	Ypiranga - Tombense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
12.08.24	Floresta - Ypiranga	2:2
14.08.23	Floresta - Ypiranga	2:0
08.05.22	Ypiranga - Floresta	2:0

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